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Old 05-02-2007, 12:31 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Summerset
Its time now to investigate the action at 3550 / 3650 - See PDF attached.

Note that April's monthly candle will close tommorow. And unless something extremely dramatic occurs today, we have a roboust BULL monthly candle confirmed.

As outlined in the attached PDF, My bias is for a mild retraction to occur. As All daily, weekly, & monthly Cci graphs are in trending mode, (as narrated in pdf), I will accumlate all fib retractions into the April monthly candle - if & when seen.

These are:-
23% @ 3577
38% @ 3521
50% @ 3484
61% @ 3444
78% @ 3394

I will not of course accumlate (buy) them all at once. But one X one on a weekly basis, using the methodology outlined in the attached pdf.

This should allow to mount a sizably position on each fib level, and bail out with little profits - or even at b/e- if the retraction continues. And hold in full force when the trend re-asserts.

The coming levels to accumlate this week are the <3521-77> area. The stops of course are below 3484. (prefreably 3460).

The retraction today didn't even make 23% (3577).

Comments welcome.

Profitable Trading.
The Fib retrace method is an interesting way to diversify price albeit at some very serious assumption of risk. If your assumptions are wrong you have just acquired 4 times more risk that the single entry method. However, if you are right and the uptrend holds you will have a great blended price.

This is one of those philosophical issues of trading that does not carry an easy answer.
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