Go Back   DailyFX Forex Forum | FX Forum

View Single Post
  #2971 (permalink)  
Old 01-20-2008, 11:23 AM
italm31 italm31 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,592
italm31 is an unknown quantity at this point
Hey guys,
Well, looks like many pairs are going through major reversals here. We elliticians know the reasoning for this lies in a major shift in investor psychology. The shift being whatever worked before, is not working anymore. It's that simple. Down means up and up means down. Long term positions are being stopped out, and its time for a new strategy. That strategy means cash. The Euro and Gold will by far be the biggest shock which means the fall should be violent at least initially.
I don't think you want to miss wave 3 down. Short term, we may get a spike up to start the week in Euro...then again, that spike may not come as C of 2 may take the form of a running flat...but the next fall should bring us near 1.4000 before a pause which is where the 200 day moving average lies. Thats over 600 pips away. Id find a place to short if not already short and enjoy the ride down. Gold should be just as violent. Always keep the big picture in mind before getting into and out of a trade. If you don't already have one, you could borrow this one. Remember where 161.8% of wave A line has not been breeched and that should be where B wave has ended which I have advocated all this time, even though we went down in 3 waves since that line hit.The rise since should be a truncation. This is the count Im working with. By the time wave C down is all said and done, we should be back down near wave A, if not a bit below it. The end of C is not important. What is important once C is over as that you make sure you have as much Gold as possible cause this should be the last Harah of the USD!

Last edited by italm31; 06-11-2008 at 06:00 AM..
 


Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Capital Markets LLC. will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:00 PM.
Copyright ©2009 Daily FX. All Rights Reserved.