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Thread: 请教各位老师一个关于经济数据的问题~

  1. #1
    catheralick is offline Member
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    Question 请教各位老师一个关于经济数据的问题~

    下图是英国GDP数据年率和季率的前次数据与预测数据,对年率是利空,对季率却是利多,这种情况下,我们应该怎么分析?依我看季率不是距离我们更近么,就好比寻找支撑和阻力一样,从最近的开始找起,市场不是应该更加注意距离我们更近的数据么?为什么年率重要性反而会更高,市场焦点到底会集中在哪里?英镑走向该如何分析?谢谢~
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  2. #2
    Winham Zhang is online now Moderator
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    事实上季率和年率一样重要。若英国连续两个季度GDP季率下滑则显示英国经济衰退,英镑可能受打压。
    Last edited by Winham Zhang; 04-25-2012 at 12:53 AM.

  3. #3
    catheralick is offline Member
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    Question

    Quote Originally Posted by Winham Zhang View Post
    事实上季率和年率一样重要。若英国连续两个季度GDP季率下滑则显示英国经济衰退,英镑可能受打压。
    也就是说只有一季的经济数据下滑便不足以说明经济衰退,对汇价的日内影响不会很明显的吧?

  4. #4
    Winham Zhang is online now Moderator
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    事实上英国已经连续两个季度GDP下滑,即陷入双底衰退,不过英镑目前还是强劲上涨,可见市场有时并没有想象那么简单。

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