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彻底埋葬波浪理论!!!
前几年有一段时间,本人特别关注一些理论方面的文章,看到很多文章总结起来就一句话: 彻底埋葬凯恩斯主义!
最近一段时间,本人突然有一种想法,是到时候了,在分析方面,我们需要 彻底埋葬波浪理论!
很多人在给别人讲起波浪理论时,头头是道,你看:这里是2浪、这里已经是第5浪了,你看,这里肯定要算到第二浪里面。。。
其实,告诉大家一个事实,他们这么头头是道,只是因为他们根据价格已经走出来的形态而振振有词。你在趋势刚刚出现几波调整后请几个“牛人”分析,这里该怎么数浪,保证没有两个人的看法相同,如果走势走完才让他们给出看法,保证他们的看法又完全相同了,你发现问题了吗?
所以呢,现在在很多论坛也不断有人讨论,数浪这种分析方法是仁者见仁智者见智,有时候甚至是骗人的。
所以呢,如果你感觉自己数浪水平不行,也不要觉得不好意思,因为那些数给你看的人,他们自己心里都发毛、都没谱,呵呵 背后一个更重要的事实是:发明波浪理论的人,他生命最后是穷困潦倒而死的。如果波浪理论真这么有用、可以永远从第一浪开始正确的判断未来走势,那么,它是根本不会流传出来的,发明者会自己留着,自己就靠数浪成为世界上最伟大的投资者、最富有的人,但世界投资史不是这样的。
所以呢,如果你感觉一直都没有学会数浪,那就不要数了,可能你“会数”了,反而像其发明者一样穷困潦倒。
Last edited by gerontocracy; 06-09-2012 at 11:49 AM.
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呵呵。。发明波浪理论的,其实并不是做交易出身的,而是干会计的。他从市场上没有赚到一分钱。。
个人感觉波浪理论有些作用,但要学好、精通太难了。。所以,我举手放弃。。。 |
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