[B]MAIN ANALYSIS[/B]: The day began slowly and appeared to map out a triangle before breaking lower but then exceeding the 1.2455 target and extending to 1.2364. There was a small - but very, very brief pullback from 1.2421 that I am counting as the expected reaction but will treat this with caution. I feel that the correction from the 1.2364 low may well deepen further over Asian hours and probably a maximum around 1.2425-30 but then head lower to the 1.2287-11 area - and allow for a little lower - perhaps around 1.2260-65. Take care around this lower area - and because of the limited correction from 1.2421 ensure that you see good bullish trade set ups - otherwise we may be in a stronger push lower that should not be fought...
[B]COUNTER ANALYSIS[/B]: Only an earlier break above 1.2446 would suggest the final decline has fallen short of expectations and could then continue to see ragged and choppy gains to 1.2473 minimum and potentially as high as 1.2500-28.
For more information regarding the support & resistance and medium term outlook please see the attached PDF file.
Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Capital Markets LLC. will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.