FXInstructor.com Daily Forecasts with Setyo Wibowo

EURUSD Forecast: Consolidating, bullish scenario remains intact

The EURUSD made indecisive movement yesterday. The pair attempted to push lower, bottomed at 1.4937 but closed higher at 1.4983. I think the pair is now consolidating after significant bullish on Monday. The bias is neutral in nearest term but bullish scenario should remains intact, at least indicated by a bullish channel (yellow) as you can see in my h4 chart below. Immediate support is seen at 1.4930 and lower line of the bullish channel. Break below that area could trigger further bearish correction testing 1.4850 and the major trendline resistance area (blue) and could be a potential threat to my bullish outlook. I still prefer and expect a bullish scenario ...

EURUSD Forecast: Re-testing 1.5062, potential double top formation

As I had expected, the EURUSD continued it's bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.5019 and closed at 1.4995. The bias should remains bullish in nearest term re-testing October 26 high, 1.5062. I will be watching any reaction around this area since technically we could have a double top formation if price reject to move above that area, as you can see in my daily chart below. However, a breakout above that area should continue the upside scenario targeting 1.5150 area as a bearish correction/reversal scenario failure could potentially produce the other scenario: bullish continuation. Immediate support is seen at 1.4950 followed by 1.4850 area.

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EURUSD Forecast:
The EURUSD made indecisive movement on Friday. On daily chart below we can see that after made a false breakdown on November 03, price now retreat to the upside, traded above the trendline indicating potential further bullish scenario with 1.4950 – 1.5060 as nearest target before 1.5300. Immediate support at 1.4850 – 1.4800 area. Break below that area should diminish my bullish outlook but as long as the pair stay above the trendline, I prefer a bullish scenario.



On fundamental side, after worse than expected NFP and unemployment rate on Friday, the risk aversion had not enough power to reduce optimism about economy recovery and Dollar failed ...

EURUSD Weekly summary: Bullish paused after NFP and unemployment rate. Technically upside scenario remains intact.
The EURUSD bullish momentum was paused after worse than expected NFP and unemployment numbers. However, I think yesterday's movement was indecisive. I am not sure whether that was caused by not enough surprise between expected and actual number or lower NFP and increasing unemployment rate already anticipated and priced in the market. Overall, I personally prefer to focus more on optimistic tone by ECB and The Fed regarding economy recovery progress which I believe should continue weaken the Dollar.

Technically on daily chart below, even after worse than expected numbers on NFP and unemployment rate, the ...