Technical Analysis Commentary

EURUSD Forecast:
The EURUSD had a bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.4989 and closed at 1.4959 after rejected to move consistently below 1.4820 key support area and even after Trichet said that he support a strong Dollar. However, on my daily chart below the bearish channel remains valid and the upper line of the bearish channel provide a good resistance. So I think the bearish correction even a bearish reversal scenario (double top) is still intact. Once again, we need violation to the bearish channel to end this bearish correction and valid break above 1.5062 to confirm the bullish scenario towards 1.5150 and 1.5300.




GBPUSD Forecast:
The ...

EURUSD Forecast: Euro weaken, need consistent move below 1.4820 for further bearish pressure

The EURUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.4807 but failed to stay below key support area 1.4820, closed higher at 1.4860 and traded around 1.4887 at the time I wrote this comment. As you can see in my daily chart below, it's a fact that after peaked at double top formation around 1.5062 area the pair keep moving lower in a bearish channel indicating significant downside correction and even potential bearish reversal, especially if we have a consistent move below 1.4820 area with 1.4625 and 1.4450 as technical targets.

Right now, after failed to stay below 1.4820 yesterday, the pair bouncing ...

EURUSD Forecast: Bernanke triggered Dollar rally, but Euro recovered quickly, technical bullish remains intact
What a surprise we had yesterday. As you can see in my h4 chart below, after violated the bearish channel, actually this pair had a nice bullish momentum before Bernanke dropped the bomb with his pessimistic comment about economy recovery by saying this words: “Today, financial conditions are considerably better than they were then, but significant economic challenges remain. The flow of credit remains constrained, economic activity weak, and unemployment much too high. Future setbacks are possible” Euro fell after that comment, hit the bottom at 1.4879 as risk aversion came back. I didn't expected this negative tone but ...

EURUSD Forecast: The bearish channel violated to the upside, need consistent move above 1.4950/60 to re-testing 1.5062

In my weekly summary on Saturday, I said that in order to complete the valid double top formation, the second bearish channel (yellow) must remain valid. Well, looks like the channel has been violated to the upside earlier today in Asian session as you can see in my h4 chart below. This fact should diminish the double top bearish reversal scenario and the pressure is now more to the upside, but it's too early to say that double top bearish reversal scenario is over. I think this pair need consistent move above 1.4950/60 to continue upside pressure re-testing 1.5062. A failure to do so could be considered as a ...