Go Back   DailyFX Forex Forum | FX Forum > Forex Trading Strategies > Carry Trade

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rating: Thread Rating: 270 votes, 5.00 average.
  #76 (permalink)  
Old 12-08-2007, 11:59 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,606
Big Mike is on a distinguished road
Thumbs up SSI Indicator

Thank you, Antonio
That was a very good explanation of the SSI indicator.

I just read recently on the Elliott Wave site that the COT is indicative of market movement about 80% in terms of being accurate, which is a really strong correlation, as far as indicators go.
Reply With Quote
  #77 (permalink)  
Old 12-10-2007, 01:46 AM
Terri Belkas's Avatar
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 808
Terri Belkas is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard35 View Post
Hello to you!
Does this GBP/JPY-thread stop here forever?
Your last comment was on 10-19-2007. now about 6 weeks are gone.

And you were referring to The Carry Trade: Buy or Sell - section:
http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/...t=13941&page=5

But this one is also almost dead since 10-19-2007.

no more comments here on GBP/JPY? We had good movements in November and now in December. GBP/JPY (and other crosses) are still alive!
Richard,
We have a forum devoted specifically to GBPJPY here: http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/...play.php?f=129
Reply With Quote
  #78 (permalink)  
Old 12-10-2007, 01:19 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
Carry Trade Positioning

USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.35 as nearly 57% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.33 as 57% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 4.1% higher than yesterday and 12.5% weaker since last week. Short positions are 3.3% higher than yesterday and 36.2% stronger since last week. Open interest is 3.7% stronger than yesterday and 8.9% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.

GBPUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPUSD stands at -1.01 as nearly 50% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.07 as 52% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 0.8% lower than yesterday and 46.0% stronger since last week. Short positions are 7.2% higher than yesterday and 5.2% weaker since last week. Open interest is 3.1% stronger than yesterday and 11.9% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more GBPUSD gains.

NZDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the NZDUSD stands at -1.51 as nearly 60% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.40 as 58% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 2.3% lower than yesterday and 20.6% weaker since last week. Short positions are 5.2% higher than yesterday and 33.5% stronger since last week. Open interest is 2.1% stronger than yesterday and 8.9% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more NZDUSD gains.

Source: FXCM Execution Desk

For historical data and the latest charts based on the SSI please visit http://www.dailyfx.com/story/strateg...353412325.html

For information on an FXCM Managed Fund that takes advantage of the SSI, please review our Sentiment Fund at: http://www.fxcmmanagedfunds.com/ or call +1 646-432-2968.
Reply With Quote
  #79 (permalink)  
Old 12-10-2007, 02:05 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
Exchange rates volatility remains awfully high and as a result of increasing uncertainty traders preferred to stay away from holding positions in high yielders. In fact, last week the DailyFX Dynamic Carry Trade Basket was down by nearly 153 pips. The biggest losses were taken in the long position we held in the Sterling against the U.S. dollar (-205 pips) and in the long position we took in the Australian dollar (-91 pips). On the other hand, the only profitable trade we had was the long position we held in the New Zealand dollar with 117 pips gain. Looking ahead, the outlook for carry trades is bullish. The Federal Reserve is likely to cut the fed funds overnight rate by at least 25 bps when the FOMC holds its meeting during this week and we believe the rate cut is likely trigger a major rally in the U.S. stock market and help all classes of risky assets, including carry trades. Good luck with your trading for the week ahead!
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #80 (permalink)  
Old 12-11-2007, 01:55 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.40 as nearly 58% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.33 as 57% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 7.2% higher than yesterday and 10.0% weaker since last week. Short positions are 2.1% higher than yesterday and 34.7% stronger since last week. Open interest is 5.0% stronger than yesterday and 10.2% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.


NZDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the NZDUSD stands at -1.44 as nearly 59% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.40 as 58% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 5.3% higher than yesterday and 14.4% weaker since last week. Short positions are 8.6% higher than yesterday and 37.8% stronger since last week. Open interest is 7.2% stronger than yesterday and 14.1% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more NZDUSD gains.

Source: FXCM Execution Desk

For historical data and the latest charts based on the SSI please visit http://www.dailyfx.com/story/strateg...353412325.html

For information on an FXCM Managed Fund that takes advantage of the SSI, please review our Sentiment Fund at: http://www.fxcmmanagedfunds.com/ or call +1 646-432-2968.
Reply With Quote
  #81 (permalink)  
Old 12-11-2007, 03:15 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 160
Euchre is on a distinguished road
Send a message via AIM to Euchre Send a message via Yahoo to Euchre
What price action

Amazing that gbp/jpy and eur/jpy & $/jpy are actually being taken to the wood shed and Cable/$ and Eur/$ are "holding there own".


Does it "move" into Aussie / Asia time ?

Euchre
Reply With Quote
  #82 (permalink)  
Old 12-11-2007, 03:53 PM
David Rodriguez's Avatar
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 733
David Rodriguez is an unknown quantity at this point
Well, if recent trends are of any indication, we may see further JPY gains into the Asia session. As it stands--wow. The Yen has gained against every liquidly traded currency on the face of the planet.
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #83 (permalink)  
Old 12-12-2007, 11:24 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 358
Ivanovich is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by David Rodriguez View Post
Well, if recent trends are of any indication, we may see further JPY gains into the Asia session. As it stands--wow. The Yen has gained against every liquidly traded currency on the face of the planet.

Nope! Helicopter Ben to the rescue, this time recruiting help from Air Drop Trichet and Quick Draw Dodge!
Reply With Quote
  #84 (permalink)  
Old 12-12-2007, 01:09 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
NZDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the NZDUSD stands at -1.55 as nearly 61% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.40 as 58% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 5.7% higher than yesterday and 14.1% weaker since last week. Short positions are 17.1% higher than yesterday and 48.6% stronger since last week. Open interest is 12.4% stronger than yesterday and 19.2% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more NZDUSD gains.

GBPUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPUSD stands at 1.04 as nearly 51% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.07 as 52% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 1.5% higher than yesterday and 49.3% stronger since last week. Short positions are 5.0% higher than yesterday and 7.2% weaker since last week. Open interest is 3.2% stronger than yesterday and 12.0% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more GBPUSD losses.

USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.38 as nearly 58% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.33 as 57% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 1.6% higher than yesterday and 14.6% weaker since last week. Short positions are 1.6% lower than yesterday and 29.9% stronger since last week. Open interest is 0.2% stronger than yesterday and 5.4% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.


Source: FXCM Execution Desk

For historical data and the latest charts based on the SSI please visit http://www.dailyfx.com/story/strateg...353412325.html

For information on an FXCM Managed Fund that takes advantage of the SSI, please review our Sentiment Fund at: http://www.fxcmmanagedfunds.com/ or call +1 646-432-2968.
Reply With Quote
  #85 (permalink)  
Old 12-13-2007, 02:32 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
GBP/JPY Positioning

GBPUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPUSD stands at 1.03 as nearly 51% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.07 as 52% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 4.2% higher than yesterday and 53.3% stronger since last week. Short positions are 8.5% higher than yesterday and 4.1% weaker since last week. Open interest is 6.2% stronger than yesterday and 15.2% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more GBPUSD losses.

USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.35 as nearly 57% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.33 as 57% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 3.4% higher than yesterday and 13.1% weaker since last week. Short positions are 2.3% higher than yesterday and 35.0% stronger since last week. Open interest is 2.9% stronger than yesterday and 8.1% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.


Source: FXCM Execution Desk

For historical data and the latest charts based on the SSI please visit http://www.dailyfx.com/story/special...140917987.html

For information on an FXCM Managed Fund that takes advantage of the SSI, please review our Sentiment Fund at: http://www.fxcmmanagedfunds.com/ or call +1 646-432-2968.
Reply With Quote
  #86 (permalink)  
Old 12-14-2007, 01:48 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
Carry Trade Positioning

USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.28 as nearly 56% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.33 as 57% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 1.2% lower than yesterday and 17.0% weaker since last week. Short positions are 2.9% higher than yesterday and 35.8% stronger since last week. Open interest is 0.6% stronger than yesterday and 5.7% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.

GBPUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPUSD stands at 1.47 as nearly 60% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.07 as 52% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 21.4% higher than yesterday and 78.6% stronger since last week. Short positions are 11.3% lower than yesterday and 21.5% weaker since last week. Open interest is 5.7% stronger than yesterday and 14.6% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more GBPUSD losses.

Source: FXCM Execution Desk

For historical data and the latest charts based on the SSI please visit http://www.dailyfx.com/story/strateg...353412325.html

For information on an FXCM Managed Fund that takes advantage of the SSI, please review our Sentiment Fund at: http://www.fxcmmanagedfunds.com/ or call +1 646-432-2968.
Reply With Quote
  #87 (permalink)  
Old 12-17-2007, 01:40 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
Carry Trade Positioning

USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.38 as nearly 58% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.28 as 56% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 6.1% higher than yesterday and 0.4% stronger since last week. Short positions are 1.8% lower than yesterday and 9.6% stronger since last week. Open interest is 2.7% stronger than yesterday and 7.3% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.


NZDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the NZDUSD stands at -1.03 as nearly 51% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.02 as 50% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 1.5% lower than yesterday and 10.9% weaker since last week. Short positions are 0.6% lower than yesterday and 15.5% stronger since last week. Open interest is 1.1% weaker than yesterday and 2.9% below its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more NZDUSD gains.



Source: FXCM Execution Desk

For historical data and the latest charts based on the SSI please visit http://www.dailyfx.com/story/special...140917987.html

For information on an FXCM Managed Fund that takes advantage of the SSI, please review our Sentiment Fund at: http://www.fxcmmanagedfunds.com/ or call +1 646-432-2968.
Reply With Quote
  #88 (permalink)  
Old 12-17-2007, 01:40 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
Last week, the U.S. dollar made a sharp recovery against the world’s most heavily traded currencies on news that the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and the Swiss National Bank were adopting several measures intended to address pressures in short-term lending markets. By injecting short term funds through a broader range of counterparties and against a broader range of collateral than open market operations, Central Banks hope to promote the efficient dissemination of liquidity when the unsecured interbank markets are under stress. However, this was not good news for the performance of our portfolio since we held several currency positions against the U.S. dollar. In fact, over the last week the DailyFX Dynamic Carry Trade Basket was down by nearly 810 pips. The biggest losses were taken in the long position we held in the Sterling against the U.S. dollar (-295 pips), in the long position we took in the Australian dollar (-263 pips) and in the long position we held in the New Zealand dollar.
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #89 (permalink)  
Old 12-18-2007, 12:42 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
Carry Trade Positioning

USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.19 as nearly 54% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.28 as 56% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 5.2% higher than yesterday and 0.5% weaker since last week. Short positions are 12.9% higher than yesterday and 25.9% stronger since last week. Open interest is 8.6% stronger than yesterday and 13.1% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.

GBPUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPUSD stands at 1.52 as nearly 60% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.45 as 59% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 7.8% higher than yesterday and 80.5% stronger since last week. Short positions are 2.9% higher than yesterday and 7.4% weaker since last week. Open interest is 5.8% stronger than yesterday and 20.0% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more GBPUSD losses.



NZDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the NZDUSD stands at 1.03 as nearly 51% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.02 as 50% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 2.5% higher than yesterday and 7.3% weaker since last week. Short positions are 2.4% lower than yesterday and 13.4% stronger since last week. Open interest is 0.0% weaker than yesterday and 1.8% below its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more NZDUSD losses.

Source: FXCM Execution Desk

For historical data and the latest charts based on the SSI please visit http://www.dailyfx.com/story/special...140917987.html

For information on an FXCM Managed Fund that takes advantage of the SSI, please review our Sentiment Fund at: http://www.fxcmmanagedfunds.com/ or call +1 646-432-2968.
Reply With Quote
  #90 (permalink)  
Old 12-19-2007, 01:25 PM
Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 748
Antonio Sousa is on a distinguished road
Carry Trade Positioning

NZDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the NZDUSD stands at 1.31 as nearly 57% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.02 as 50% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 31.0% higher than yesterday and 18.5% stronger since last week. Short positions are 1.8% lower than yesterday and 14.1% stronger since last week. Open interest is 14.4% stronger than yesterday and 11.6% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more NZDUSD losses.


USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.32 as nearly 57% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.28 as 56% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 5.5% higher than yesterday and 0.2% weaker since last week. Short positions are 1.9% higher than yesterday and 13.6% stronger since last week. Open interest is 3.9% stronger than yesterday and 8.5% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.


Source: FXCM Execution Desk

For historical data and the latest charts based on the SSI please visit http://www.dailyfx.com/story/strateg...353412325.html

For information on an FXCM Managed Fund that takes advantage of the SSI, please review our Sentiment Fund at: http://www.fxcmmanagedfunds.com/ or call +1 646-432-2968.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
carry trade, central bank, fed, fomc, interest, interest rates, meeting, rollover

Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off




Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Capital Markets LLC. will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:25 PM.
Copyright ©2009 Daily FX. All Rights Reserved.