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Old 11-03-2009, 12:33 PM
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Gold

Here are three charts that show something a little different in that the new high is limited to when you price gold in USD. That is represented by the red line in all three charts. The blue lines represent the price of gold in EUR, AUD and JPY. None of these other three have moved up to a new high recently. This does show how much the value of a currency market can influence the price of a commodity. I will leave it to others to debate the significance of this as my only intention here is to show another window to observe a market. Make no mistake about it though, all three charts show how far from the lows this commodity has risen no matter what currency you use to buy it. But the divergence this year is, if nothing more, interesting to say the least.
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  #137 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2009, 11:50 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by speculator84 View Post
New all time high in gold...just as surely as the sun will rise tomorrow .
great prediction earlier speculator!
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Old 11-05-2009, 04:06 AM
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We've been given yet another opportunity...

We're in the midst of a wave 4, wave 3 wave was a perfect 2.618 of wave 1.

USDX is in for some pain over 1100.

oil-gold-xau-nov4.jpg
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  #139 (permalink)  
Old 11-05-2009, 05:03 AM
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Daily fib numbers coming up @ 1111 & 1137 (1.618 of 1), I'll repost my gold wave count here as it tends to get washed away in the elliot wave forum.

oil-gold-xau-count-nov4.jpg
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Old 11-06-2009, 10:11 AM
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That was a pretty weak wave 4!!

Gold continues to triumph. The gold bears deserve what they are getting.
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Old 11-09-2009, 03:40 AM
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speculator84 has a little shameless behaviour in the past
Here is the hourly story for the week, possible we test channel highs.

Daily fib numbers could come into play but targeting ~1140..and it's getting on the verge of ridiculous! It can be assumed 1156 will behave just as 1089 did (magnet action).

No trend line breaks, all red lines should be bought aggressively while we are trending.
oil-gold-xau-count-nov9.jpg

Last edited by speculator84; 11-09-2009 at 03:43 AM..
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Old 11-11-2009, 04:47 AM
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Gold reaches another all time high.....the USDX approaches oblivion!
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Old 11-11-2009, 02:16 PM
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We're over the first daily fib number, the short term trend might be running out of steam, unless a force comes out of nowhere and pushes us back over the previous trend line.

Bulls may need a bit of break here.


The second trendline would be solid support to buy.
oil-gold-xau-nov11.jpg
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Old 11-11-2009, 02:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by speculator84 View Post
We're over the first daily fib number, the short term trend might be running out of steam, unless a force comes out of nowhere and pushes us back over the previous trend line.

Bulls may need a bit of break here.


The second trendline would be solid support to buy.
Attachment 41201
speculator....thanks for keeping these charts going. They're very helpful. Hey, how about that gold rally huh? Awesome isn't it?
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Old 11-11-2009, 02:51 PM
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Welcome back!

lol were what only 100$ higher since you left??!

Ya it's crazy....and the G20 and IMF didn't fail us either...

"USD OVERVALUED"

"STIMULUS WILL NOT END"

They gave everyone the green light to short and borrow USD for the next year!

I would suppose the next shoe to drop will be china or russia announcing the purchased the rest of the IMF gold closer to $1100 or higher than the $1045 purchase.

Jim Sinclair (Welcome To Jim Sinclair’s MineSet) had this to say about Gold yesterday...

Quote:
Dear CIGAs,
My friend, former partner, respected colleague and ace floor trader Yra Harris today said:
"Oh the birds are singing, the hills are alive with the sounds of music and the carry trade is in full swing. Today was the paradigm of the easy funding for the world for if you were an asset class that could not rally you must have been tied to causing the existence of flesh eating bacteria. With the G20 shown to be a paper tiger, the IMF giving its seal of approval to the debased dollar carry trade – the animal spirits ran wild. The dollar was down against everything but the yen for the yen is the second favorite funding currency with similar fundamentals to the dollar."
My comment is simple.
The floors of the dollar’s downward elevator are about to open up wide.
The freefall is near. Armstrong’s few days are just around the corner.
The Winter is going to be very cold for the US dollar Be advised. Take precautions immediately if you have not already.
He called bs on the IMF selling gold and now we find out their selling propelled us over 1000 and into 1100....

He has been calling for an event measured in hours which will take the USDX into .60s and .50....

He now says this event is weeks away.

Gold is the canary in the coal mine......USD bulls are cooked...
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Old 11-11-2009, 03:21 PM
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spot gold

hı speculator84.

where are we in your bıg chart?
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Old 11-12-2009, 07:37 AM
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So i'll admit I did lighten my load a bit. On the hourly price hit that first wave 5 target (where my arrow was and has so far retreated in a impulse like fasion!).

I'll be buying any dips that reach my second trendline, currently...1080s and of course the daily support @ 1071.

The bears did get some attention.

oil-gold-xau-nov12-1.jpg
Hi Sheldor,

By big chart did you mean daily?

In some circles we are in a stepping pattern, I've outlined it on the daily. Let Fibonacci be our guide for the next level.

Should price carve out another "step" I would call it another Elliot wave 1-2 series. The 3 of all these 1-2s will probably blast us into the stratosphere (1387).


I'll throw this out there as well. Delta theory has gold marking a low on Nov 2 + 9 . Which is tomorrow, the accuracy is +/- 4 days ! lol so next week is our bottom.

oil-gold-xau-nov12-2.jpg

Last edited by speculator84; 11-12-2009 at 07:55 AM..
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Old 11-12-2009, 09:39 AM
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Some useful info...if your new to trading gold, you definitely want to get up early and take profit before comex and the stock market opens.
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Old 11-12-2009, 01:44 PM
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Originally Posted by speculator84 View Post
Some useful info...if your new to trading gold, you definitely want to get up early and take profit before comex and the stock market opens.
speculator, so looks like you're calling for a very near term top on gold....correction..and then another rise upward correct?

Your charts are very helpful. I appreciate you being so consistent in placing them in here.

Would love to see your latest charts on oil too.
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Old 11-12-2009, 02:03 PM
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I'll see what I can do on the oil Sean.

Yes, a "pause" for the bulls it would seem is in order. At least until that stair pattern is broken. Of what magnitude...i'm not sure but I think it's safe to say pause until monday morning.

The goal here is to try and front run the central banks buying gold on the dips!
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