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Old 03-01-2008, 12:25 AM
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AUD/NZD - Nice Setup

Hey guys,

Has anybody noticed the short term setup in AUD/NZD? There is a picture perfect five wave upside move that was completed today. When wave three is extended, waves one and five usually equal each other. Waves one and two were only 2 points away from being equal. Price action on all scales is incredibly bullish. Price is in wave (3) of iii of 3.

There is an immediate opportunity to the short side with minimal risk (if you're into that sort of thing), and an awesome trade setup to the long side once the correction completes. the 161.8% extension shows an initial target of just over 500 points.
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Old 03-01-2008, 01:04 AM
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Yes, Justy ......... this chart is in tune .......
Your reading up on all this starting to show in your
charting and a full week has not gone by yet
keep on posting charts -
--------------------------------------------------
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Old 03-01-2008, 01:06 AM
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Eur/jpy

EUR/JPY is setting up nicely as well. I'm looking to sell the wave four bounce (~158.00 - ~158.50). Jamie's Weekly Trade idea puts EUR/JPY in a 3 of 3 to the downside, so we could see this one drop pretty fast. If nothing else, the rally off of 152.10 is clearly corrective, so we will at least see price drop through there. That level is over 500 points away from current price.

Good Stuff.
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Old 03-01-2008, 01:09 AM
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Brad ,
you seem to have a interest in the Chf/Jpy

So, here is a look at it ( 1/2 hr bars ) ............
-----------------------------------------------------
A simple End of Wave 4 may be occurring ?
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Last edited by marketwavez2; 03-01-2008 at 01:13 AM..
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Old 03-01-2008, 01:14 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez2 View Post
Yes, Justy ......... this chart is in tune .......
Your reading up on all this starting to show in your
charting and a full week has not gone by yet
keep on posting charts -
--------------------------------------------------
I have been using Elliott Wave for some time now, but I'm amazed by it everyday. To see waves come within just mere points of equality is awesome. The EUR/JPY corrective rally off of 152.10 has waves A and C within 3 points of equality. When you think about the market as a whole being people from all over the world acting on their emotions and such, and then to see the concept of Elliott Wave be able to predict their movements to the pip is amazing.
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Old 03-01-2008, 02:10 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by justy10125 View Post
I have been using Elliott Wave for some time now, but I'm amazed by it everyday. To see waves come within just mere points of equality is awesome. The EUR/JPY corrective rally off of 152.10 has waves A and C within 3 points of equality. When you think about the market as a whole being people from all over the world acting on their emotions and such, and then to see the concept of Elliott Wave be able to predict their movements to the pip is amazing.
its been 4 years now for me ..............
1st 2 years for me were learning curve though ,
to really fine tune Elliott Waves ,
it also helps to study Japanese Candlestick Formations , and to utilize Time Analysis

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

By the way ,
what draws me to Elliott waves is the fact that you don't need to use any
of the
stinking western oscillators like Stochastics , Macd ,and Moving Averages

All those oscillators just add confusion when looking at charts -
and most of them are lagging behind price anyway ....

so , please
Don't get me wrong , I think people can use oscillators
in their analysis , but an Elliottian who has spent the time and
studied the charts and read the work of Ralph Nelson Elliott
will come to understand that oscillators were never mentioned
in his writings in his discovery of the Wave Principle ........

Nelson Elliott , did speak and write of the Fibonacci numbers
and their relevance to the 5 wave wave sequence .........

by the way Ralph Nelson Elliott , the man who created
Elliott Waves , did not trade the markets and he died
soon after his discovery of the waves...... what a bummer ....

------------------------------------------------------------------
His discovery was simple and I quote him
" Markets move in 3's 5's or 7's then they correct "

What a very profound thing to be said -
-------------------------------------------------------------------

On another note :
Mr. Nelson Elliott explained that
------------------------------------------
...The worst place to trade in an Elliott wave structure
is the End of a wave 4 , because this is the most like place for
consolidation to occur and create correction patterns .

.... The best place to trade off an Elliott Wave structure
is the End of a Wave 2 that retraces .786% to 100% ,
which by the way coincides with the teachings of W.D. Gann
--------------------------------------------------------------------
....The next best place to trade
off an Elliott Wave structure
is at the " End of a Wave D " or at the " End of a Wave E "

Last edited by marketwavez2; 03-01-2008 at 02:24 AM..
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Old 03-01-2008, 02:24 AM
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Old 03-01-2008, 03:16 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez2 View Post
Brad ,

you have Wave 4 overllaping Wave 1

in both of your last 2 charts you just posted ...........

- Did you not read the link that Justy provided yesterday that explains ?

-------------------------------------------------------------------
Hello,

Thought I may be able to lend some assistance.

I have a library of Elliot Wave books including the "Frost and Prechter". My favorite is DYNAMIC TRADING, "Robert C. Miner".

In reference to wave 4, this was an issue for me prior to "Miner". I follow his guidline which states wave 4, (should not), but may penitrate W2 so long as W4 does not close on a daily basis in violation of the rule.

The book speaks to Elliot and Fib. clusters.

Order the book. Hope this helps.

Joe
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Old 03-01-2008, 06:26 AM
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Cable Daily Chart

Since everyone is analyzing cable, i think it's my turn now.
My count on the daily chart assumes that we r still in W4 which sould print 2.0016 before dropping for a new Low (W5). My projection for W5 is 1.9077 Bid but this will take some time.
Chart attached.
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Old 03-01-2008, 01:41 PM
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Setups

Heya Justy and Market,
Thanks for pointing out the setups. Some of the patterns are just beautiful.

The more I've been looking at past charts the more I can see some of these really cool cool fib relationships between waves of higher degree (up to this point I had only really studied the 60 min charts due to my trading style).

Cheers.

John
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Old 03-01-2008, 04:31 PM
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Marketwavez

Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez2 View Post
Brad ,

you have Wave 4 overllaping Wave 1

in both of your last 2 charts you just posted ...........

- Did you not read the link that Justy provided yesterday that explains ?

-------------------------------------------------------------------

Market... Provide me with the post numbers to which you are referring...
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Old 03-01-2008, 04:47 PM
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Market

Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez2 View Post
Brad1199
please observe this .............
------------------------------------------------
Market... Wave 4 is allowed to overlap wave 1 in the case of a leading diagonal... Or an ending diagonal... Take your pick.
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Old 03-01-2008, 04:52 PM
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Justy

Quote:
Originally Posted by justy10125 View Post
Brad,

I'm curious about the wave you labled as 5 (Green Numbers). How do you see that as an impulse wave. All I can see is an A-B-C.

Justy .. I label it as I see it... A room for of Ellioticians couldn't label one chart all the same... I will note for you this, on a few different occasions I have seen elliot wave international label this huge decline in USDCHF over the last few years, as a large wave B in a fourth wave position.
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Old 03-01-2008, 04:58 PM
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Market

Quote:
Originally Posted by marketwavez2 View Post
Brad1199
here is a copy of one of your charts you just posted .

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Can't you see that you have labeled
Wave 4 low overlapping Wave 1 high ?

So , how can this be an update ?
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There people in here who are New
and want to learn from us in here Brad ,

( they are looking at your charts as examples , so please be aware )
-------------------------------------------------------------------
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
I'm sure you can look out for this basic situation
and not do this anymore when labeling your charts.....


Special Note :
If you were thinking this is a Leading Diagonal Pattern
then Ponits #1 , Point #2 and Point #5 are
to touch the upper channel Resistance line
- this is not the case in your chart post
------------------------------------------------------
See Example diagram below diagram below

Market I think you need to add just a little bit of flexability in your criticisms here... As far as the the leading diagonal situation goes... You are looking for too much perfection ... You of all participants in this forum should know that markets are far from perfect !
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Old 03-01-2008, 05:10 PM
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Market

Market, I'm taking a break from this forum for a while... Teach away oh Grand Master... I'm headed to the Florida Keys in a few days for a long needed vacation I live in Canada, and it's dam cold and miserable here right now... I need a break from it....

I'll be back in a month or so... Good luck with your trading everyone..
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