Go Back   DailyFX Forum > Strategies > Elliott Wave

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Rating: Thread Rating: 21 votes, 4.52 average.
  #8011 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 10:19 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,606
Big Mike is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by tonyk View Post
Where can I read more about where this fill the gap theory came from? I have not seen it anywhere other than in this forum. Thanks.
here are some links, but any good book on technical analysis will have an entire chapter dedicated to gaps.

http://www.streetauthority.com/terms/gaps-candles.asp

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.p...d_gap_analysis

http://www.tradingday.com/c/tatuto/thegapprimer.html

Very often the gaps will close, then the price will instantly reverse, as if rejected by the gap.

mike
  #8012 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 10:30 AM
marketwavez2's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 3,865
marketwavez2 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by CodyB View Post
do you have an update for this?
Gap still open but will it close
Only Time will tell if it will get closed ...............
--------------------------------------------------------
  #8013 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 10:31 AM
marketwavez2's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 3,865
marketwavez2 is on a distinguished road
Gbp/Usd

---------------------------------------------
Result charts for last nights Gap set-up.........
( trade set-up got stopped out )

Long @9720 ..................Exit 9708....... -12 pips

---------------------------------------------------
Attached Images
  

Last edited by marketwavez2; 06-02-2008 at 10:49 AM..
  #8014 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 10:46 AM
marketwavez2's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 3,865
marketwavez2 is on a distinguished road
Us Dollar
Usd/Chf

--------------------------------------------------
Original Post : # 8000
http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/...13880&page=534

---------------------------------------------------
Attached Images
  

Last edited by marketwavez2; 06-02-2008 at 11:22 AM..
  #8015 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 10:48 AM
marketwavez2's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 3,865
marketwavez2 is on a distinguished road
Usd/Chf
Pg/2
---------------------------------------------
Result charts for last night's Us Dollar set-up.........
( Price target was reached )

Short @.0412 ................Stopline .0434 ............. Target.......... .0390


Short @.0412 ...........Exit @ .0390 ...........Gain +22 pips
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Attached Images
 

Last edited by marketwavez2; 06-02-2008 at 11:20 AM..
  #8016 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 11:18 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,219
diver is an unknown quantity at this point
Guys,

Correct me if I am wrong BUT, am I seeing a CLEAR 5 waves down on the hourly here? AND, what looks like a clear developing counter trend ABC up.
Attached Images
 
  #8017 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 11:33 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 531
aerocom is an unknown quantity at this point
Driver;

That's what I'm counting with a target of 5597. But, I am a little uneasy about it for some reason. Time will tell. No position.

Good Luck.
  #8018 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 11:49 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 773
American Trader is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by diver View Post
Guys,

Correct me if I am wrong BUT, am I seeing a CLEAR 5 waves down on the hourly here? AND, what looks like a clear developing counter trend ABC up.
Looks like 5 to me! However we have to be careful in observing random 5 wave moves without acknowledging the larger trend. I'm not sure if you're bullish or bearish medium term on the EUR/USD so I'm not speaking directly to you, I'm just talking in general. If we don't have proper perspective of the bigger picture, we can be fooled by a random 5 wave move because it could be a C wave ending a correction.

To play contrarian, you labeled the wave from 5460-5775 an a-b-c, but from what I can see that can easily be a small 5 wave rally. And by looking at the bullish bar, then bearish bar, then bullish bar in the 5540-5560 area, it looks like a nice consolidation that would fit nicely as a wave 4. Then following that, we have a clear 3 waves down, without breaking the low of 5460.

Also keep in mind that the dollar rallied hard after better than expected ISM data, but has now reversed to be weaker than it was prior to the news data coming out. This obviously is dollar bearish (EUR/USD bullish).

Regardless of the larger trend, I definitely agree with you that the pair is moving higher, which speaks loudly for the dollar as a whole in the majors (except AUD and CAD which I am not following).

Just my random thoughts....

Good chart, Diver, thanks!

American-T
  #8019 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 12:14 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 114
fxctrader is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by diver View Post
Guys,

Correct me if I am wrong BUT, am I seeing a CLEAR 5 waves down on the hourly here? AND, what looks like a clear developing counter trend ABC up.
Hey Diver,

This is what I am seeing on the hourly ... looks like it's in a W4 correction.
Attached Images
 
  #8020 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 12:29 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 114
fxctrader is an unknown quantity at this point
Here is what could be happening with GBPUSD on the M15 time frame... one more leg down is needed to complete 5-wave move down ... before pair reverses and fills gap.
Attached Images
 
  #8021 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 12:36 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 773
American Trader is an unknown quantity at this point
Diver,

The stock market trade I talked about yesterday looks real good. Hopefully you were able to take advantage of it somehow.

American-T
  #8022 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 12:50 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,219
diver is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by American Trader View Post
Diver,

The stock market trade I talked about yesterday looks real good. Hopefully you were able to take advantage of it somehow.

American-T
AT,

You are killing the calls in stocks! Great job. AND, I'm getting my share. :-) Thanks.
  #8023 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 12:51 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,219
diver is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by fxctrader View Post
Hey Diver,

This is what I am seeing on the hourly ... looks like it's in a W4 correction.
Nice chart trader. Looks like a sell on the correction to me.
  #8024 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 12:55 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,219
diver is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by American Trader View Post
Looks like 5 to me! However we have to be careful in observing random 5 wave moves without acknowledging the larger trend. I'm not sure if you're bullish or bearish medium term on the EUR/USD so I'm not speaking directly to you, I'm just talking in general. If we don't have proper perspective of the bigger picture, we can be fooled by a random 5 wave move because it could be a C wave ending a correction.

To play contrarian, you labeled the wave from 5460-5775 an a-b-c, but from what I can see that can easily be a small 5 wave rally. And by looking at the bullish bar, then bearish bar, then bullish bar in the 5540-5560 area, it looks like a nice consolidation that would fit nicely as a wave 4. Then following that, we have a clear 3 waves down, without breaking the low of 5460.

Also keep in mind that the dollar rallied hard after better than expected ISM data, but has now reversed to be weaker than it was prior to the news data coming out. This obviously is dollar bearish (EUR/USD bullish).

Regardless of the larger trend, I definitely agree with you that the pair is moving higher, which speaks loudly for the dollar as a whole in the majors (except AUD and CAD which I am not following).

Just my random thoughts....

Good chart, Diver, thanks!

American-T
Thanks AT. I'm not bullish or bearish at the moment. I'm waiting for a breakout of the ranges and for a TREND to be reestablished. In the meantime just playing some very short term moves with no bias. Gas money as I call it. :-)
  #8025 (permalink)  
Old 06-02-2008, 12:58 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,219
diver is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by diver View Post
Thanks AT. I'm not bullish or bearish at the moment. I'm waiting for a breakout of the ranges and for a TREND to be reestablished. In the meantime just playing some very short term moves with no bias. Gas money as I call it. :-)
BTW, still waiting on gold to breakdown. That will be the killer trade that will make some real change in a day or two. You know how that market goes when it hits technical levels. :-)
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off




Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Capital Markets LLC. will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:28 PM.
Copyright ©2009 Daily FX. All Rights Reserved.