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Old 10-22-2008, 02:57 AM
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Originally Posted by brad_1199 View Post
USDJPY is still in corrective mode before an eventual drop... I don't think it will get too high... I'm keeping a sharp eye on the weekly and daily candles for confirmation of the next drop... I didn't get the candle I was looking for on the weekly chart of USDJPY last week so I'm still working blind on where this correction will end... If it goes back up higher.. Just look for short opportunities..
Hi Brad, USD/JPY has begun the move in your direction, do you feel it would take out the prior low and move towards 90... or it may get another bounce upwards before doing that?
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Old 10-22-2008, 03:48 AM
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Etarkum .. USDJPY

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Hi Brad, USD/JPY has begun the move in your direction, do you feel it would take out the prior low and move towards 90... or it may get another bounce upwards before doing that?
It may bounce back toward 101.23 but I don't think it will be for long even if it does... This pair is COOKED !!!!!!! Hold short for the entire month of November and walk away with 1000+ PIPS ... Maybe a little longer but I doubt it... I think this pair is going to start rocketing to the down side soon.... Bears all aboard !

I see solid resistance at 103.40 which should contain any further attemp at a bullish rally...

Last edited by brad_1199; 04-09-2009 at 12:10 AM..
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Old 10-22-2008, 04:06 AM
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It may bounce back toward 101.23 but I don't think it will be for long even if it does... This pair is COOKED !!!!!!! Hold short for the entire month of November and walk away with 1000+ PIPS ... Maybe a little longer but I doubt it... I think this pair us going to start rocketing to the down side soon.... Bears all aboard !

I see solid resistance at 103.40 which should contain any further attemp at a bullish rally...
Hi Brad, great! Thanks for your view! I am expecting a big drop in Dow somewhere around tomorrow or Friday and if that drop takes the Dow below 7000, we may see USD/JPY dropping like a rock soon, as you expect!
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Old 10-22-2008, 04:11 AM
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Etarkum .. USDJPY

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Originally Posted by etarkum View Post
Hi Brad, great! Thanks for your view! I am expecting a big drop in Dow somewhere around tomorrow or Friday and if that drop takes the Dow below 7000, we may see USD/JPY dropping like a rock soon, as you expect!
I expect most of the coming downward force to occour over the month of November... I don't think this month will get much lower than it already has... But maybe .. Ya never know..
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Old 10-22-2008, 04:44 AM
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For the Zeitgeist movie, hier the link to the whole thing.
Zeitgeist: Addendum
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Old 10-22-2008, 05:08 AM
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italm, i think a series of expanded flats is not the answer..
i think we may have to wait for a while before we see it drop.
but since you shorted so good, i suppose you dont mind holding it for some months..
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Old 10-22-2008, 05:58 AM
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Cable

My look at the Cable. I belive we are in a short wave (iv) of (v) of 5 down.
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Old 10-22-2008, 06:01 AM
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Tom Hougards comment for today:

22nd October 2008

Oh dear. This does not look good. A turn was due today, but it looks like it came early yesterday and have accelerated the downside, and on top of it, it is dragging lower currencies. We are set in an ugly crash pattern, and any move below 900 in the SP500 will accelerate the selling.

This could be an ugly day in Europe...

I will post some charts a little later in the session, around noon.


another thing is, looking at gbpusd, eurusd, usdjpy, they are all in wave iii of 3!! and one thing that bothers me, i actually expected a wave iv in the indexes, but it is really possible that this extends to another wave (iii)!!

Last edited by qsx; 10-22-2008 at 06:03 AM..
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  #1689 (permalink)  
Old 10-22-2008, 06:48 AM
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italm, i think a series of expanded flats is not the answer..
i think we may have to wait for a while before we see it drop.
but since you shorted so good, i suppose you dont mind holding it for some months..
Hey QSX,
Just curious. What makes you believe my scenario is incorrect. Did my count violate any rules? Why would your scenario be any more probable. Finally, why are you projecting 3 waves in advance when you dont know what shape this first wave down will present. Im only looking at what I see present tense but your looking way into the future. Thats a dangerous game my friend. Just my opinion. Good luck.

Last edited by italm31; 10-22-2008 at 06:52 AM..
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Old 10-22-2008, 07:02 AM
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interesting about the amero.. i will watch your videos later. what influence do you guys think it will have?
edit: i am going crazy with those conspiracy theories, i am not sure who to trust? i all this was true, what stops the us government to stop any articles, or this guy, about reporting about the amero? same as there are alot of ufo conspiracies & co.. they have the force to stop all small individuals. there is proof for deleted wikipedia articles, but this one is standing: North American currency union - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia and it says:
Hal Turner claimed that Carr's website had been created in haste in a matter of days expressly to discredit his claim about the coinage. [26] However, Carr's designs have been available through his website since 2005,[27] and according to a WHOIS search at Network Solutions, the domain "dc-coin.com" was registered by Daniel Carr on 27 September 2005.[28] In October 2008, Hal Turner released a video showing an apparent 20 Amero coin, with claims that shipments of the currency had been sent to China. [29] Yet the coin in Hal Turner's video is identical to a medallion on Daniel Carr's "dc-coin" website, listed as "UNA 2007 1 Amero, Copper, Satin Finish".
Anyway, Barnabas, you seem to be a weird guy with your religious belief and your "higher mission on earth".. i used to have a friend who was similiar, he was searching for himself.. first he was all religious, reading the bible all day long, then he was rapper, then metal, all weird. i respect the bible as a source of peace, belief, support and moral, but its not something i wanna obey.. anyway, everyone is free to have his own opinion and choice of life. guys like you scare me - nevertheless, one could probably learn alot from you. *this is not meant to be an insult, every person is individual and unique.
edit2: having RON PAUL talking about conspiracies, now that is hard really... great post.

regarding the CZK, i heard some rumors that it is planned to be eurczk=5 in 2012 or something, so you can join the EURO, opposed to 20 atm..
maybe something similar can be done for usdcad and usdmxp?

comments on eurusd are mostly in the chart.. although i have no idea how to join the party, 400 pips stop is too much for my account...

ps: charts seem to be working
Well, I don't have a high mission on earth, not reading the bible whole day long, not attending "holy" sunday church and so on. I know god called every human being and I do what he called me for. Some call me moron because they are afraid of the truth. Yes, the amero is there in Wikipedia - I did not contribute anything to that article. I just found Hal Turner on YouTube. the fact is if you watched the videos on my suggested articles that a man reports to CNBC the AMERO that makes the reporter amazed because he never heard about that. Probably this guy who spoke out AMERO should not have done so, most probably he is out, or dead or captured by CIA. Concerning the theories that cares you and whom to believe. I'm a beleiver, but I'm a consequent thinker. I think logic matters. If you open your eyes and use your logic lots of theories and conspiracies fail. There are many out there and they are half or fully fake.
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Old 10-22-2008, 07:06 AM
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here a view at usdjpy again.. i shorted at the first red circle to look for a reaction around 101, instead it didnt stop and i am still holding.. so it could be the big breakdown we are all looking for.

also it looks more likely to me that this 22nd is a HIGH (5 waves down on DJI, S&P, DAX) and we could see the essence of this financial crisis in the near time..

everybody talking about how the worst is over.. this is the PERFECT PSYCHOLOGICAL TIME for the next breakdown!!
GREAT Call, QSX! It's flirting with 9850 now.

If only I'd have been on board for this one...,

I'll look for a place to hop on,
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Old 10-22-2008, 07:15 AM
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Hey QSX,
Just curious. What makes you believe my scenario is incorrect. Did my count violate any rules? Why would your scenario be any more probable. Finally, why are you projecting 3 waves in advance when you dont know what shape this first wave down will present. Im only looking at what I see present tense but your looking way into the future. Thats a dangerous game my friend. Just my opinion. Good luck.
italm,
sorry, i did not want to offend you - and i suppose we are all open minded enough to not get offended.
first of all i see it highly unlikely to form two following expanded flats so quickly one after another; kind of the rule of alternation. second, remember when usdcad was at 1,08? or usdchf at 1,14? we were all looking for a top, and we were doing all kind of pattern aerobics, again with the expanded flat down. but hey, lets face it, this pattern in the eurgbp simply is a three wave move down. weather we like it, or not, it simply is three waves. that is why my assumption is that this should be a leading diagonal. now i have no idea under what angle it will form, but i prefer to wait for now - even if i miss the party. i am just pointing out that it could take some time.
and just watch where the usdchf and usdcad are now.. looks like there is no significant top forming with a expanded flat, or at least i dont remember one - could you search for one?
i had two type of tops scenarios for eurgbp, blow off, and forming a base. as it continuesly fails to fall as a rock, as both currencies are being liquidated around the board, i suppose the second is happening.
anyway, you might be right, and its your opinion, and your responsibility
cheers.


barnabas,
its great that you are so open minded, but i am wondering what you can achieve with your blog. i looked at it yesterday, its cool, but overall you are just posting foreign oppinions/videos. this is always the problem with those conspiracy theories - there is little you can do as a ordinary private person.
but congrats for finding yourself, and your higher purpose.
by the way, the "documentary" about the amero, the one you put here is a cut from the zeitgeist movie, i suppose you know it..

...thats my part of critical thinking.

Last edited by qsx; 10-22-2008 at 07:20 AM..
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Old 10-22-2008, 07:53 AM
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Originally Posted by qsx View Post
italm,
sorry, i did not want to offend you - and i suppose we are all open minded enough to not get offended.
first of all i see it highly unlikely to form two following expanded flats so quickly one after another; kind of the rule of alternation. second, remember when usdcad was at 1,08? or usdchf at 1,14? we were all looking for a top, and we were doing all kind of pattern aerobics, again with the expanded flat down. but hey, lets face it, this pattern in the eurgbp simply is a three wave move down. weather we like it, or not, it simply is three waves. that is why my assumption is that this should be a leading diagonal. now i have no idea under what angle it will form, but i prefer to wait for now - even if i miss the party. i am just pointing out that it could take some time.
and just watch where the usdchf and usdcad are now.. looks like there is no significant top forming with a expanded flat, or at least i dont remember one - could you search for one?
i had two type of tops scenarios for eurgbp, blow off, and forming a base. as it continuesly fails to fall as a rock, as both currencies are being liquidated around the board, i suppose the second is happening.
anyway, you might be right, and its your opinion, and your responsibility
cheers.
No worries. I dont get offended when someone questions a count I posted as I do have an open mind. I never said your scenario was impossible. I just said that you provided a count WAY TOO EARLY. For now, it looks like an expanded flat. And the rule of alternation law, as you provided as a rebuttal has no bearing in this case. The rule of alternation applys to the same degree (weather a wave 2 and 4 OR A and C). Im talking about an expanded flat on 2 different degrees here. But I asked for some imput and your the only one that provided me with that so for that I thank you.

FYI On the count you provided, your wave 2 subdivides in 5 waves.

Last edited by italm31; 10-22-2008 at 08:22 AM..
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Old 10-22-2008, 09:20 AM
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Originally Posted by brad_1199 View Post
Here's a look at the 8 hour chart of AUDUSD... Looks like we've got a 4th wave triangle playing out here... I just noticed on DailyFX.com that FXCM's trading signals just went long this pair... YIKES !! (And that's not the first one I've seen go sour in the last while) Think I'll stick to my wave counting...
I follow the same count for AUDUSD. We will have lots of fun with this pair quite soon. My target is around 60, but it might extend lower.
Myself, I am flat this pair for now. But will short it soon, maybe before the weekend.
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Last edited by Big Mike; 10-22-2008 at 09:22 AM..
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Old 10-22-2008, 09:32 AM
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italm,
its great that you are so open minded, but i am wondering what you can achieve with your blog. i looked at it yesterday, its cool, but overall you are just posting foreign oppinions/videos. this is always the problem with those conspiracy theories - there is little you can do as a ordinary private person.
but congrats for finding yourself, and your higher purpose.
by the way, the "documentary" about the amero, the one you put here is a cut from the zeitgeist movie, i suppose you know it..

...thats my part of critical thinking.
IMHO these "conspiracy theories" are not a conspiracy at all, it is just the way things go in politics. There is a whole world behind the curtain that you don't see but where everything happens.
But you have to check your facts and stay realistic. Zeitgeist had some truth to it but the worst lies are half truths.
Always ask yourself who is to benefit?
However, all these theories however nice they are, don't really help in setting my EW targets.
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