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Thread: Elliott Wave Trading Discussion

  1. #18676
    bohebolo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by apipintime View Post
    Are you talking about this, with 1.3921 being the top of wave v of the leading diagonal?
    yes it is pipin.
    this diagonal can be either wave i of C(flat) OR wave (c) of iv (my primary count).

  2. #18677
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    Quote Originally Posted by bohebolo View Post
    yes it is pipin.
    this diagonal can be either wave i of C(flat) OR wave (c) of iv (my primary count).
    On the same wavelength. I posted these 2 charts a few hours back. Wave c of 4 is certainly a possibility:

    Edit: By the way, if the B wave low is in at 1.3655, the 161.8% of wave A lines up identically with the 38.2% retracement area for wave 4 on the Daily chart. Just some food for thought.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-gbpusd1.jpg  

    Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-cable2.jpg  

    Last edited by apipintime; 03-12-2009 at 01:11 AM.

  3. #18678
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    JPY Run 230 pips in profit!

    Well making 230 pips in a day is good enough for me to lock in profits on my short. I took half my position off the table and put a stop loss above the support shelf that should now act as resistance (just above 98.55).

    Took some profits on my long EUR/USD position too. The 15min chart is looking ugly for the short term bullish picture. Looking very toppish.

    American-T
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  4. #18679
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    EUR USD 15 Min Chart

    Next Resistance at 1,3000
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-eurusd12032009_elliot-triangle.jpg  


  5. #18680
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    Quote Originally Posted by apipintime View Post
    On the same wavelength. I posted these 2 charts a few hours back. Wave c of 4 is certainly a possibility:

    Edit: By the way, if the B wave low is in at 1.3655, the 161.8% of wave A lines up identically with the 38.2% retracement area for wave 4 on the Daily chart. Just some food for thought.
    Pipin, pls see both chart below. Hope you will understand what i thought.
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  6. #18681
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    I dig

    Quote Originally Posted by bohebolo View Post
    Pipin, pls see both chart below. Hope you will understand what i thought.
    I totally understand what you are thinking. The only variation that I have on the possible wave v of C of B that you are talking about, is that it ends in truncation. Time will tell. I am still targeting 1.60 area, as Cable is due for a substantial correction.

  7. #18682
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    Quote Originally Posted by apipintime View Post
    I totally understand what you are thinking. The only variation that I have on the possible wave v of C of B that you are talking about, is that it ends in truncation. Time will tell. I am still targeting 1.60 area, as Cable is due for a substantial correction.
    yes, truncation is also a possibility..
    well we just wait now

  8. #18683
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    Quote Originally Posted by bohebolo View Post
    yes, truncation is also a possibility..
    well we just wait now
    To determine which of the wave count is most probable, you also need to consider the state of other major currencies like EUR and AUD against USD. It seems that EUR and AUD have been quite bullish lately (you can see Jamie's EUR and AUD analysis at Dailyfx link below)

    Euro Breakout Favored as Long as Price is above 1.2616

    Something to consider: Is it possible for GBP to still make new lows below 3500 when other majors are probably ready to rally against USD.
    Last edited by cmellon; 03-12-2009 at 03:29 AM.

  9. #18684
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    USDCHF

    Guys,
    I do not have a decent count for that pair - but still think this is a valid trading opportunity as long as it penetrates 1.1680 /1h chart/:
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-usdchf_h1_12-03-09.jpg  


  10. #18685
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    Quote Originally Posted by brad_1199 View Post
    Here's the USDCHF Daily Chart... I'll look to short this pair on a daily close below 1.1560... Likely tomorrow... Or we may see one more small intra-day bounce before coming under support for a daily close... Price is sitting right on top of temporary support, a daily close below there indicates additional bearish potential...
    Hi Brad.

    My charts are showing the USD/CHF closed at 1.155 on the daily so wondering if you decided to short that pair? Are you able to give me some guidance as to where you would place a stop should you enter at 1.155?

    Thanks again.


    Luke

  11. #18686
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    Quote Originally Posted by herman sucipto View Post
    I think EUR still going down target 1.2647
    Please put some labels on your chart, so others can review and/or comment it.

  12. #18687
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    I have a question, is it possible to have 5th wave extended (over shoot) in a diagonal.
    wave v = 1.618 wave1-3
    what do you think?
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  13. #18688
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    Cable

    Quote Originally Posted by bohebolo View Post
    I have a question, is it possible to have 5th wave extended (over shoot) in a diagonal.
    wave v = 1.618 wave1-3
    what do you think?
    I wonder if something like this has occurred?
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-gbpusd5.jpg  


  14. #18689
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    Quote Originally Posted by apipintime View Post
    I wonder if something like this has occurred?
    perhaps this is the case? - diagonal on your chart consists of zigzags, so it it fits as an ending diagonal as c of an expanded flat
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  15. #18690
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    Quote Originally Posted by apipintime View Post
    I wonder if something like this has occurred?
    apipintime

    Geez... that looks like a good count...thanks for pointing it out bud.

    regards

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