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Thread: Elliott Wave Trading Discussion

  1. #20326
    Ilovepippin's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by justy10125 View Post
    If you listen to the radio or watch TV then you know that the words "Bailout" and "These tough economic times" and "Financial Crisis" have become national advertising slogans. Car dealers are offering "Bailouts" to people by giving deals on cars. Or, "Due to these tough economic times we're offering you 20% off on this new gizmo." And there are a whole bunch of other companies doing the same type of thing. The point is that many companies out there are still spending money on advertisements and are still going on like normal. Many many people are still going out to dinner now. In fact there are reports that say dining out has incresed recently. If things were really "that bad," then people would be eating ramen noodles at home instead of going out so often. I just don't think things are as bad as people want to make them out to be.
    Yes it is indeed hilarious, people who caused this crisis in the first place are now presenting themselves as the great hero's trying to save you from dispair. However, I do agree that people are upbeat in general and social mood will stay that way unless a great (natural) disaster will hit.
    And who is not to say that the current wave in the Dow is not a wave 1 of even bigger degree?

  2. #20327
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    GBP/JPY

    The weekly GBP/JPY chart is bumping up against a trend channel. Price may be nearing a wave (4) high.
    Attached Images Attached Images  

  3. #20328
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    Contracting Triangles

    Now that you mention them, Justy, I see them everywhere :-)
    Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-gbpjpy-15min-triangle.jpgElliott Wave Trading Discussion-usdcad-4hr-triangle.jpg

  4. #20329
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    Quote Originally Posted by bbbats View Post
    Now that you mention them, Justy, I see them everywhere :-)
    Click image for larger version. 

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    That wedge is looking bullish to me.
    http://www.tradingpricepatterns.com/bullish-wedge/
    Last edited by cmellon; 04-12-2009 at 06:53 AM.

  5. #20330
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    gbpjpy

    Quote Originally Posted by justy10125 View Post
    The weekly GBP/JPY chart is bumping up against a trend channel. Price may be nearing a wave (4) high.
    Not only that, also on a smaller timescale it bounced off the upper TL.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-gbpjpy.jpg  


  6. #20331
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    GBP JPY

    Quote Originally Posted by bbbats View Post
    Now that you mention them, Justy, I see them everywhere :-)
    Click image for larger version. 

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    Speaking of GBP JPY and contracting triangles, here is my idea for the coming week /1H chart/:
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-gbpjpy_h1_12-04-09.jpg  


  7. #20332
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    Quote Originally Posted by cmellon View Post
    I'm already long...., Jamie's count was invalidated so I put a different count on this pair putting us at the end of "E". R/R looks nice...,

    Chart is USDCAD daily, same one I posted a couple days ago


  8. #20333
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grin View Post
    I'm already long...., Jamie's count was invalidated so I put a different count on this pair putting us at the end of "E". R/R looks nice...,

    Chart is USDCAD daily, same one I posted a couple days ago

    Yes, RR looks nice, except that wave E can overshoot the A-C line. So the triangle can still be valid as long as price is above wave C (1.175) per your chart's count, which is 500 pips away from the current price.

  9. #20334
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    Quote Originally Posted by cmellon View Post
    Yes, RR looks nice, except that wave E can overshoot the A-C line. So the triangle can still be valid as long as price is above wave C (1.175) per your chart's count, which is 500 pips away from the current price.
    Thanks, that's certainly something to keep in mind.

  10. #20335
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    Usd Cad

    I actually went short Friday. I don't E has completed yet.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-usdcad04-12-09.jpg  

    The greatest evil: " the conversion of the law into an instrument of plunder" Frederic Bastiat 1850

  11. #20336
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    I went long thinking that lower trend line will hold. We'll see, one beauty of trading this close to trendlines is that stops can be tight. I looked very hard at that count which has us in a 5 wave move down. R/R this close to that trendline made me think it was worth it.

  12. #20337
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grin View Post
    I went long thinking that lower trend line will hold. We'll see, one beauty of trading this close to trendlines is that stops can be tight. I looked very hard at that count which has us in a 5 wave move down. R/R this close to that trendline made me think it was worth it.
    I went long thinking the same thing grin. If for some reason the TL is broken it will be stopped out with barely any risk. Even if E does over shoot i will be stopped out for a better entry anyway. Would really like a test of the triple top.

  13. #20338
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bignatx View Post
    I went long thinking the same thing grin. If for some reason the TL is broken it will be stopped out with barely any risk. Even if E does over shoot i will be stopped out for a better entry anyway. Would really like a test of the triple top.
    I'd like to see 1.40

  14. #20339
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    Usd/Yen
    ------------------------------
    1 Chart ----- wave- count ..............
    ==========================

    -------------------------------------
    Looking for an End of Wave 4
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-yen-4-10-2009-1.jpg  

    Last edited by marketwavez2; 04-12-2009 at 03:00 PM.

  15. #20340
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    Nice call on the 1st target at .7267

    Quote Originally Posted by Gray View Post
    Hi Ayobro

    On your 4 hr chart you have us in wave iii of v of 5 and show a triangle for wave ii. It is very unlikely to see a triangle in the wave ii position,they normally appear in wave 4 or b.

    I've attached a couple of updated charts that show us in the subwaves of wave iii of 5 of red 5 of a 5 wave advance that started at .6284.

    Edit: A possible first target for the end of wave 5 may be .7267. This is the 61.8fe of red wave 1-3 and also the same level as the January 6th high which may act as resistance. It also is within 35 pips of w1= w5
    Hey Gray,

    Nice call on the possible first target of 7267. I had dropped out of my position for a +40 pip profit at the start of subwave.

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