Ravno... I too have noticed this clear 5 wave decline in EURJPY on the shorter time frames... But until price comes under the lower rising diagonal triangle line on the daily chart, I stay in the bull camp...
attempting a position trade here.. lets see if we can get it running, or get out at b/e at least.
my 30 pip target from yesterday is still running - which is basically a mistake i guess. still have no expirience with it, so i am not really sure how much to let it run and when to exit.. but i am leaving it the way i have programmed it.
now i am not really concerned with a 50 pip drawdown to get the 30 i planned, but my issue is that the original trade idea isnt valid anymore.
it ran 10 pip into profit and dropped to currently -25... while i fell asleep
i have to say i didnt care too much about the drawdown because there was this explosion elliot wave scenario, although the idea was basically to trade without forecasting..
and i am not sure how important exactly this dollar appreciation is today, alot of you are dollar bearish, and cable is at the moment 300 pips down in the matter of 8 hours, looks very much like a significant sentiment shift/trend change.
edit: taking half off on position trade at 1,0882 for +84 pips - other stop left at +10.
Now - for a perfect symetry sp500 should be now in wave b of an expanded flat - new low and then 5ve up aiming .618 fibo of zigzag a at 928.4 which hasn`t been reached today.
You know what guys.... The end of the month is really close and if EURUSD leaves the presently visible spinning top candle in place on the monthly chart, I think we're actually going to be going down from here and not up like I have been showing with my daily chart...
I have been posting a triangle scenario like this for the long term chart since the very top at 1.6000 ...
Be real careful ! I just closed my long positions from 1.3000 and have flipped to short against the high at 1.4338 targetting 1.2700
I do not have a position in GBPUSD at the moment.
Still watching.
It looks like this morning will be a good opportunity to go long at around 1.64; once the last C wave down is complete.
This one gave me a scare yesterday especially with cable breaking up, I suppose the GDP numbers were the saving grace? My position is short from 161 and have since added more shorts at 158 and 157, expected targets in the 145 range, With cable now looking vulnerable I suspect we may have completed what I've depicted as B in the GBPJPY chart below.
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