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Thread: Elliott Wave Trading Discussion

  1. #26011
    italm31 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrbandwidth View Post
    Your wave IV in C overlaps wave I... Isn't supposed that the count is invalidated then?

    Regards,
    Mr B
    Hey Mr B,
    Wave C looks to be shaping up to be an ending diagonal. Its actually one of the only patterns where wave IV typically overlaps wave I within the diagonal. Its what helps make the lines converge thereby giving it the wedge like shape known as the diagonal. It only happens as wave 5 and wave C hence the name "Ending Diagonal"

    "Ending Diagonal

    n ending diagonal is a special type of wave that occurs primarily in the fifth wave position at times when the preceding move has gone "too far too fast," as Elliott put it. A very small percentage of ending diagonals appear in the C wave position of A-B- C formations. In double or triple threes (see next section), they appear only as the final "C" wave. In all cases, they are found at the termination points of larger patterns, indicating exhaustion of the larger movement.

    Ending diagonals take a wedge shape within two converging lines, with each subwave, including waves 1, 3 and 5, subdividing into a "three," which is otherwise a corrective wave phenomenon. The ending diagonal is illustrated in Figures 8 and 9 and shown in its typical position in larger impulse waves"

  2. #26012
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    Did some reading

    Alternate chart count shows wave-E of possible triangle not finished(complex correction instead of triangle is still being consider for additional downside potential). Sidelined for now for better setup and R/R.

    A-Yo Out[/QUOTE]

    Well the complex correction has succeeded and the triangle has failed. Good lesson, almost great lesson. Matter of fact great lesson learned. Money management sounds like a better lesson to learn. Matter of fact, two lessons learned. Did some reading and both counts are wrong. Triangles are not suppose to have impulsive waves(53535) instead are suppose to be corrective only(33333) so scratch those counts. After all, i'm the only newbie making a fool of himself for the sake of learning(I wish I could laugh). Triangles only happens in certain circumstances. Just read the above post by Italm, wishing I read it two days ago. Any case I did some reading before Italm post but after I posted the charts. Sorry for misleading anyone. New charts coming soon.

    AyoBro

    Nevermind, wrong chart posted. I guess I need some sleep.
    Last edited by AyoBro; 08-07-2009 at 01:41 AM. Reason: Can someone tell me how to faze out greed?

  3. #26013
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    oil

    Quote Originally Posted by italm31 View Post
    Hey Mr B,
    Wave C looks to be shaping up to be an ending diagonal. Its actually one of the only patterns where wave IV typically overlaps wave I within the diagonal. Its what helps make the lines converge thereby giving it the wedge like shape known as the diagonal. It only happens as wave 5 and wave C hence the name "Ending Diagonal"

    "Ending Diagonal

    n ending diagonal is a special type of wave that occurs primarily in the fifth wave position at times when the preceding move has gone "too far too fast," as Elliott put it. A very small percentage of ending diagonals appear in the C wave position of A-B- C formations. In double or triple threes (see next section), they appear only as the final "C" wave. In all cases, they are found at the termination points of larger patterns, indicating exhaustion of the larger movement.

    Ending diagonals take a wedge shape within two converging lines, with each subwave, including waves 1, 3 and 5, subdividing into a "three," which is otherwise a corrective wave phenomenon. The ending diagonal is illustrated in Figures 8 and 9 and shown in its typical position in larger impulse waves"
    Hi Italm,

    Can 5th wave in an Ending Diagonal be truncated? do you see an Ending Diagnoal pattern unfolding here in Oil too?

    Cheers

    Mike
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-oil-m30.jpg  


  4. #26014
    fazi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mike3gdc View Post
    Hi Italm,

    Can 5th wave in an Ending Diagonal be truncated? do you see an Ending Diagnoal pattern unfolding here in Oil too?

    Cheers

    Mike
    Yes Mike - if it is a contracting ED fifth may be truncated

    Patryk

  5. #26015
    italm31 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by mike3gdc View Post
    Hi Italm,

    Can 5th wave in an Ending Diagonal be truncated? do you see an Ending Diagnoal pattern unfolding here in Oil too?

    Cheers

    Mike
    Hi Mike,
    I do not see an ending diagonal unfolding in oil. The important aspect in looking at ending Ds is that every wave, including waves 1,3,5 unfold in a corrective manner...that is that they unfold in 3wave sequences. Also, I dont think Ive ever seen a truncated 5th in an ending Diagonal but I guess anything is possible. I dont think it will be the case here though.

  6. #26016
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    Ending Diagonal

    Quote Originally Posted by italm31 View Post
    Hi Mike,
    I do not see an ending diagonal unfolding in oil. The important aspect in looking at ending Ds is that every wave, including waves 1,3,5 unfold in a corrective manner...that is that they unfold in 3wave sequences. Also, I dont think Ive ever seen a truncated 5th in an ending Diagonal but I guess anything is possible. I dont think it will be the case here though.
    Fazi said there's one but it occurs in Contracting Ending Triangles...
    I looked at the EWP page 36:

    "on rare occasions,a diagonal triangle may ends in a truncation,althougth in our exprience such truncations occur only by the slimmest of margins"

    I read the section but couldnt get it.what is difference between DT and Ending D??

    he talks about 2 types of Ending Diagonal : Expanding wedge and contracting wedge but does not explain the difference between Diagonal Triangles and Ending diagonals?

    Could you please elaborate abit?

    Cheers

  7. #26017
    diver is offline Member
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    AM E-MINI update. WOW! Lower yesterday and overnight. Huge move up on the NFP numbers. Hit the prior highs but so far no breakout. Sold off to 1000 and that's holding so far.

    Well, I would say the bulls have been getting all the good news they could have hoped for this week. So far it hasn't translated into the expected breakout. Let's see what happens today. Breakout - we go higher - if the market can't it may be the start of a sell-off of larger proportions. The close should be interesting.

    Dollar STRONG. Oil and gold weak. There is a bit of a separation of the prior correlation between the dollar and equities. Previously, it was strong dollar weak equities. Today it's both strong. Will one give today or do we have a new correlation? Hmmm.


  8. #26018
    diver is offline Member
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    E-MINI. More detailed look on the 2 day 15 minute chart of support and resistance. Double bottom at 990 and double top at 1007. Take your pick? Higher or lower?


  9. #26019
    Gizmo is offline Member
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    Since wave A's usually end between the 38.2% - 50% fib levels, could we be close to the turning point soon?
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  10. #26020
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    Quote Originally Posted by diver View Post
    AM E-MINI update. WOW! Lower yesterday and overnight. Huge move up on the NFP numbers. Hit the prior highs but so far no breakout. Sold off to 1000 and that's holding so far.

    Well, I would say the bulls have been getting all the good news they could have hoped for this week. So far it hasn't translated into the expected breakout. Let's see what happens today. Breakout - we go higher - if the market can't it may be the start of a sell-off of larger proportions. The close should be interesting.

    Dollar STRONG. Oil and gold weak. There is a bit of a separation of the prior correlation between the dollar and equities. Previously, it was strong dollar weak equities. Today it's both strong. Will one give today or do we have a new correlation? Hmmm.

    Hey Diver,

    Monday,the correlction will be resumed,i assume! but oil says something else.ofcourse in MHO!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-oil-m5.jpg  

    Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-dx-daily.jpg  


  11. #26021
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    [QUOTE=diver;320619]E-MINI. More detailed look on the 2 day 15 minute chart of support and resistance. Double bottom at 990 and double top at 1007. Take your pick? Higher or lower?



    Today,cant think of anything but Ending Diagonal!! I see it in trees,people,buildings!
    I think,there's a semilair ED unfolding in the Dow and S&P too!

    I am HIGHER! But alittle bit like another 3-4 days!


    edit: it looks like EURO is selling off sharply! Elliott wave page 36 "An important change of direction follow Ending Diagonals" ...!!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-eurusd-h4.jpg  

    Last edited by mike3gdc; 08-07-2009 at 12:12 PM.

  12. #26022
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    Smile cheers

    Quote Originally Posted by marketwavez2 View Post
    Gbp/Usd

    Here's Today's Chart Update ----------

    ==============================

    Marketwaves,thank you for showing me how to make my charts black&white.it is much better now.enjoing it!

  13. #26023
    diver is offline Member
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    5 waves down on the 5 minute euro chart.


  14. #26024
    aerocom is offline Moderator
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    [QUOTE=mike3gdc;320645]
    Quote Originally Posted by diver View Post
    E-MINI. More detailed look on the 2 day 15 minute chart of support and resistance. Double bottom at 990 and double top at 1007. Take your pick? Higher or lower?



    Today,cant think of anything but Ending Diagonal!! I see it in trees,people,buildings!
    I think,there's a semilair ED unfolding in the Dow and S&P too!

    I am HIGHER! But alittle bit like another 3-4 days!


    edit: it looks like EURO is selling off sharply! Elliott wave page 36 "An important change of direction follow Ending Diagonals" ...!!
    Mike;

    I agree on the count. But, should that be a leading diagonal?

    Good Luck.

  15. #26025
    diver is offline Member
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    [QUOTE=aerocom;320661]
    Quote Originally Posted by mike3gdc View Post
    Mike;

    I agree on the count. But, should that be a leading diagonal?

    Good Luck.
    Ditto. Count looks good to me.

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