This is my personal opinion, but gold usually holds up better in a "fear based" or "inflationary" environment, either one. In that case, it would be the fear based one.
Also, gold is very liquid and its easy for big hedge funds to exit stocks and park some money in gold.
Here's a chart of gold vs. the S&P 500. Gold has outperformed the S&P since mid 2007 during all of the credit crunch. I expect that it is likely to keep this uptrend compared to the S&P.
this is what I meant by breaking the green trendline. so IF my count is true then can still the fear factors and other factor beat the ABC correction and hold the gold up there?
appreiate your thoughts...thanks
Btw. it´s at the same time 261.8% relation with SPX. Btw. you draw it correctly, I usually allways take it from W3 top. EW books and advisors to draw it the same was as you did.
this is what I meant by breaking the green trendline. so IF my count is true then can still the fear factors and other factor beat the ABC correction and hold the gold up there?
appreiate your thoughts...thanks
mike, yeah according to those counts you'd either see a big pull back in gold or a big advance in stocks that would take that spread chart of gold/spx down.
I'll keep an eye on it.
Glad you put your counts on there.
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mike, yeah according to those counts you'd either see a big pull back in gold or a big advance in stocks that would take that spread chart of gold/spx down.
I'll keep an eye on it.
Glad you put your counts on there.
Sean;
There are more than one count for gold.
Personally, I like the one showing that the gold WILL NOT EXCEED MARCH 2008 HIGH and will reverse BEFORE 1030.
While I do not have a position in gold and am impartial, my target for academic purposes only is 1020.
how do you count your wave iii sub divisions? it does nt seem very impulsive,to me,looks like a lazy camel laying back.
That is exactly the case; it is easy to count the waves on an idealized chart.
But, in practice, there is always "something" to throw your count off.
I took the previous chart and focused on the period from June till now.
This is, what I am getting.
Notwithsatnding the details, the EURUSD has still some legs.
That is exactly the case; it is easy to count the waves on an idealized chart.
But, in practice, there is always "something" to throw your count off.
I took the previous chart and focused on the period from June till now.
This is, what I am getting.
Notwithsatnding the details, the EURUSD has still some legs.
3 of i-ii,i-ii,i-ii? don't you think With an ending diagonal we show less resistance to the market?don't you think you're forcing the count?I am just wondering. cheers
mike, yeah according to those counts you'd either see a big pull back in gold or a big advance in stocks that would take that spread chart of gold/spx down.
I'll keep an eye on it.
Glad you put your counts on there.
agreed Sean,let's keep an eye on her.gold is an interesting story.thanks again for gold/spx chart today.
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