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Thread: Elliott Wave Trading Discussion

  1. #30706
    italm31 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by broyboy View Post
    How about this? I have a spike down to 60.74 that you may be missing for some reason?
    Hey Broyboy,
    Thanks for the chart. I dont know why I dont have that spike down. Either way, I think your wave 3 is still shorter than 5 for its still a no no. I dont trade oil. Was looking at the chart just to try and see if price is giving clues as to what may happen with USD pairs...especially Cad. ALready, we see oil going to new highs, without Cad support. I dont think that is sustainable. Lets wait and see.
    Last edited by italm31; 10-21-2009 at 11:25 PM.

  2. #30707
    italm31 is offline Member
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    Guys,
    Keep an eye on Aussie. At the end of the trading day, I put forth a count of an ending diagonal perhaps playing out on the 4hr chart. I was waiting for overshoot to short it, but never got it. Meanwhile, we have a bearish engulfment followed be another down candle. We havent broken the 2-4 trendline yet but its being used as support for the time being. If we can break below it, then we should have at least a short term top. Maybe even long term but lets take it 1 step at a time.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-aussi-oct21-4hr.jpg  

    Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-aussi-oct21-4hr-2.jpg  


  3. #30708
    freelancer is offline Member
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    GBP USD

    Hey guys,
    According to the count I follow cable has almost run out of steam:
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-gbpusd_h4_22-10-09.jpg  

    Last edited by freelancer; 10-22-2009 at 02:35 AM.

  4. #30709
    italm31 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by italm31 View Post
    Guys,
    Keep an eye on Aussie. At the end of the trading day, I put forth a count of an ending diagonal perhaps playing out on the 4hr chart. I was waiting for overshoot to short it, but never got it. Meanwhile, we have a bearish engulfment followed be another down candle. We havent broken the 2-4 trendline yet but its being used as support for the time being. If we can break below it, then we should have at least a short term top. Maybe even long term but lets take it 1 step at a time.
    Guys check out the Aussie. Price has broken the 2-4 trendline. Im looking for the decline to accelerate now. Stochastics is also suggesting a shift of momentum is now to the downside.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-aussi-oct21-4hr-3.jpg  


  5. #30710
    freelancer is offline Member
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    EUR JPY

    Here is a trading idea - I have not posted any for a while:
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-eurjpy_h1_22-10-09.jpg  


  6. #30711
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    AUS/USD

    Quote Originally Posted by italm31 View Post
    Guys check out the Aussie. Price has broken the 2-4 trendline. Im looking for the decline to accelerate now. Stochastics is also suggesting a shift of momentum is now to the downside.
    Morning Italm,

    I see a snake on your chart,his tail is the elongated I,and head,mouth and all the rest is ii,iii,iv,v.

    they are not proportioned.no problem?

    I think you're right,we should have atleast some short-term pull back.also mind the FTSE this morning.he is acting funny.and sounds reversal as I showed a chart yesterday morning.

  7. #30712
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    Morning all

    Do any of you guys have a short term count on cable on this move up from last weeks 1.5700 low ?

    I can get a 5 wave count to this mornings high but would appreciate a second opinion from the specialists

    Thanks

  8. #30713
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    USD CHF

    Guys,
    The count below shows a complete wave sequence ending with a textbook diagonal:
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-usdchf_h1_22-10-09.jpg  


  9. #30714
    freelancer is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnG_FX View Post
    Morning all

    Do any of you guys have a short term count on cable on this move up from last weeks 1.5700 low ?

    I can get a 5 wave count to this mornings high but would appreciate a second opinion from the specialists

    Thanks
    Though I do not put myself in the above mentioned category, here is what I see on the cable hourly chart - one more high /or possibly truncation is needed/ to open the floodgates:
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-gbpusd_h1_22-10-09.jpg  


  10. #30715
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    Quote Originally Posted by freelancer View Post
    Though I do not put myself in the above mentioned category, here is what I see on the cable hourly chart - one more high /or possibly truncation is needed/ to open the floodgates:
    Thanks freelancer

  11. #30716
    italm31 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by mike3gdc View Post
    Morning Italm,

    I see a snake on your chart,his tail is the elongated I,and head,mouth and all the rest is ii,iii,iv,v.

    they are not proportioned.no problem?

    I think you're right,we should have atleast some short-term pull back.also mind the FTSE this morning.he is acting funny.and sounds reversal as I showed a chart yesterday morning.
    Mike,
    If this is a major top, there is not a problem with wave I being elonged. I did not put the ending D into context. Sorry about that. It may actualy be a wave 5 so I of 5 is not as elongated as you think.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-aussi-oct21-4hr-4.jpg  

    Last edited by italm31; 10-22-2009 at 04:17 AM.

  12. #30717
    SKS
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    Thumbs up AUD/USD

    Hi Italm,
    This pair is tracking down well as you had prodicted. What are the targets in short term to cover shorts? Cheers San

  13. #30718
    italm31 is offline Member
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    Silver running the show?

    Here is an update of Silver from the post earlier on.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-siver-hourly-oct.22.jpg  

    Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-siver-hourly-oct.22-2.jpg  


  14. #30719
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    Smile USD Rally started as anticipated,

    Quote Originally Posted by freelancer View Post
    Guys,
    The count below shows a complete wave sequence ending with a textbook diagonal:
    Hello to everyone,
    Now you talking freelancer!
    Nice chart!!
    Ladies & Gents,
    Buckle up for USD rally!!!!
    This ending diagonal is the chart i posted yestarday and i insisted to go have a look at EWP fig.1-18 as being a text book E.D.
    But I think some people in this forum get stuck too much in details and forget we are in this for making money.
    I just leave the details for the analysts who don't trade at all.
    As long as the EW RULES are respected is good enough for me.
    Trying to keep it as simple as possible.
    If i can't identify the waves which correspond to the RULES & Guidelines, Just move on.

    Ed,

  15. #30720
    italm31 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by SKS View Post
    Hi Italm,
    This pair is tracking down well as you had prodicted. What are the targets in short term to cover shorts? Cheers San
    Hi SKS,
    Well logically, the first target coming off of an ending diagonal is where the ending diagonal began. Previous wave 4 is at 8980. That would be target number 1.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-aussi-oct21-4hr-5.jpg  

    Last edited by italm31; 10-22-2009 at 04:38 AM.

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