Here is my update on the Gbp$. I expect a correction to be capped in the 1.6246 area. Then up in wave 5.
I am counting the current up move as an extended wave 3. As a result, it is unlikely that wave 5 will extend. The target based on wave equality between A and C is 1.6297. However, if wave 5 is equal to 1, under this scenario, the target should be in the area of 1.6422.
But, if this is a three wave A-B-C move, the move is likely complete or will complete below 1.6315. Under this scenario, all possible targets that I can think off limit the price to 1.6297 to 1.6223 with 6312- 6315 as the likely highs.
Good Luck.
As a follow up to this post. If wave 3 was an extension which I believe it is, the correction should be be capped at wave 4 of 3. Or counted another way wave b of 3. Using ratio analysis, the operative ratio based on the fact that wave 3 is nearly 2.828 times wave 1, the low is anticipated in the 1.6130 area.
Afterward, price will continue up in wave 5 which should, if 5=1, end in the area of 1.6309. However, using the 5th wave principle, price could extend to 1.6436. I would also point out that .707 retracement of the move down would equate to 1.6312 and 2.828 of wave 1 is 1.6315.
In conclusion, expect price to climb to and meet the 2.828 ratio target of 1.6315 but, there is a probability that price will go as high as 1.6436 in the final move up.
As a follow up to this post. If wave 3 was an extension which I believe it is, the correction should be be capped at wave 4 of 3. Or counted another way wave b of 3. Using ratio analysis, the operative ratio based on the fact that wave 3 is nearly 2.828 times wave 1, the low is anticipated in the 1.6130 area.
Afterward, price will continue up in wave 5 which should, if 5=1, end in the area of 1.6309. However, using the 5th wave principle, price could extend to 1.6436. I would also point out that .707 retracement of the move down would equate to 1.6312 and 2.828 of wave 1 is 1.6315.
In conclusion, expect price to climb to and meet the 2.828 ratio target of 1.6315 but, there is a probability that price will go as high as 1.6436 in the final move up.
Good Luck.
see what others don't see
perhaps there will be no wave 5, if it is as per my count
however, after posting my chart, market may decide to stop me and my followers out and u will get your wave 5...lol
careful and good luck, cheers
will know if the resistant will hold for the daily chart
short term will be coming under pressure
"game is over for bears in medium term on GBPUSD"
too early to tell, but your system may work
i just wish it is a breakout bull trap to round up those bulls on top for pepper steak meal later
projected daily resistant work wonderfully as expected
I keep updating the count and found that actually the wave E is completed already. Can you see the wave is so smooth riding on the green line and moving away from yellow line in daily chart ?
Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Capital Markets LLC. will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.