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Thread: Elliott Wave Trading Discussion

  1. #45856
    szaman1977's Avatar
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    aero - can you show your count of drop from 1.0223 on aussie ?

  2. #45857
    aerocom is online now Moderator
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luxuriant View Post
    Now that I have sent flowers. You know I want something. I see these posts about shorting the dollar. I have a bias view being bullish USD. If you ever have time can you count this with an unbiased view? I know, I don't ask much. LOL The only history I have is from marketscope. If you don't have time its no big deal. Thanks



    Here it is. This is a daily count. When you posted this I started to play it. I think the first move up is complete. Price retraced a little more than 50% which is a concern for a wave 2 but, the move up is impulsive. However, it could be a of b of 2 which would mean a 5 wave down move to complete the larger wave 2. A break to a new high would mean that wave 3 is clearly under way.

    Hope this helps.

    Good Luck.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-usdsgd-06-28-12.jpg  

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  3. #45858
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    spike on aussie was very strong (in time when I expect w4) that's why I changed my count from 5w in W to 3w in W


  4. #45859
    aerocom is online now Moderator
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    Quote Originally Posted by szaman1977 View Post
    aero - can you show your count of drop from 1.0223 on aussie ?
    Here is the Audusd. Price is not likely to exceed 1.0088 in a wave 2 of 3 of 5 correction.

    Good Luck.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-audusd-06-28-12.jpg  

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  5. #45860
    aerocom is online now Moderator
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    Quote Originally Posted by szaman1977 View Post
    spike on aussie was very strong (in time when I expect w4) that's why I changed my count from 5w in W to 3w in W

    Keep It Simple. You have a 5 down with bookends. The 5 down has to be a wave 3. The other waves meet the rules. Wave 2 cannot. Wave 3 cannot be shortest. Wave 4 cannot overlap wave 2. Wave 2 retraced the entire move by 61.8%. Alternation would mean that the minor wave 2 should vary. The entire wave C should equal wave A and, as a guideline probably would enter the area of the previous wave B. Equality does not occur until .9167.

    Good Luck.

  6. #45861
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    Quote Originally Posted by stanchiam View Post
    time to short usd short term
    just passing by
    r u nuts to short usd when other long it
    good luck to u.....lol

    ans: i see what others dont, i am different, dude. I am the special one.... "lucky guess" again?? lol
    Last edited by stanchiam; 06-28-2012 at 10:58 PM.

  7. #45862
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    Quote Originally Posted by stanchiam View Post
    just passing by
    r u nuts to short usd when other long it
    good luck to u.....lol

    ans: i see what others dont, i am different, dude. I am the special one.... "lucky guess" again?? lol
    crap, didnt expect after u posted, usd go to the south like a sonic plane
    u freaking lucky guess

    ans: well if u really think those are lucky guess...haha

  8. #45863
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    As expected. People do not like the truth. They jump to the year they like. My system consists of impulse wave identifier. Correct method of wave counting must come with a good tool. You will get confuse if you switch to different time frame. ELWAVE is allright but it is still robot. Robot only acts in a confirmation way. It could not tell you the earliest movement. Best way is human maneuvers the system. So you must need a good tool.
    Last edited by JoeyLee; 06-28-2012 at 11:39 PM.

  9. #45864
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    MOZI32, the chart i sent u yesterday kicking as now, location of bounce on the spot
    if it work out as planned, then there will be more blood spill for usd bulls
    develop those eagle eyes, see what others do not
    but remember, like waves flow, so do your count, unless there is invalidation, try to stick to it

    ps: me just passing by, not back
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  10. #45865
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeyLee View Post
    As expected. People do not like the truth. They jump to the year they like. Elliot Wave is the best but the way of using it must base on the historical data.
    well, agree in some sense, most are just doing patch work or should i say, guessing
    therefore, those count are shaky as they do not have the foundation
    if u ask them to say how much confident they have in their count, most will say 50 50
    so if it is just a guessing game for most who used ew, then that will be the reason why they say EW is crap

    ps: btw, although i do not agree with your count, we shall see if your count work, cheers
    Last edited by stanchiam; 06-28-2012 at 11:38 PM.

  11. #45866
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    Quote Originally Posted by stanchiam View Post
    well, agree in some sense, most are just doing patch work or should i say, guessing
    therefore, those count are shaky as they do not have the foundation
    if u ask them to say how much confident they have in their count, most will say 50 50
    so if it is just a guessing game for most who used ew, then that will be the reason why they say EW is crap

    ps: btw, although i do not agree with your count, we shall see if your count work, cheers

    My count is a long term count. I do not count it to micro. So what i sometimes posted may be stop loss is about 100 pips. Thus I develop another program to overcome my problem, if the price moves away 30 pips away, then it will put a stop loss to the price where i have entered. Then when it returns back to entry price, automatically it will put another pending order below 20 pips from the previous order. So only thru this method i can enter at the lowest price. It only shifted 5 times. I stop it if it is shifted more than 5 times because that it is a wrong counting. Good wave counting must have a good tool.
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  12. #45867
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    This is H4 NZDUSD. GreenYellow and pink is a weekly bar. Last two weeks ago, it was a bull bar, therefore, you see last week bar is bear and it is not engulfing, hanging on the top. Therefore, it would not be possible to short it on this week. If you switch to H1 count this week, you only can see the bear wave. Thus why most people get lost in counting without a good system.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Elliott Wave Trading Discussion-nzdusd.jpg  

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  13. #45868
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    I feel like standing on the Titanic. What a nice wonderful day !! (MUAK..Muak).. Thousand kisses to you all...yuppee
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  14. #45869
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeyLee View Post
    I feel like standing on the Titanic. What a nice wonderful day !! (MUAK..Muak).. Thousand kisses to you all...yuppee
    some of the bros here longed usd, u r happy but they are not, they are sinking with the titanic
    dont muak muak ...

  15. #45870
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    Quote Originally Posted by stanchiam View Post
    MOZI32, the chart i sent u yesterday kicking as now, location of bounce on the spot
    if it work out as planned, then there will be more blood spill for usd bulls
    develop those eagle eyes, see what others do not
    but remember, like waves flow, so do your count, unless there is invalidation, try to stick to it

    ps: me just passing by, not back
    mozi, can u believe your eyes, why is price behaving like what i predicted on gbpusd?
    hmm....same answer here, lucky guess....

    ps: bro, if u longed at my indicated zone around 1.548, u owe me around 200 pips now
    me not back, it is just wind passing by
    Last edited by stanchiam; 06-29-2012 at 03:11 AM.

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