Go Back   DailyFX Forex Forum | FX Forum > Forex Trading Strategies > Elliott Wave

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rating: Thread Rating: 815 votes, 4.97 average.
  #13771 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 12:58 AM
fazi's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 814
fazi is an unknown quantity at this point
Gold - update

where are you going my preciousssss ???

well, we have something like a double bottom occouring on former sloping trend line turned from resistance to support - another neckline test (break?) looks very possible.

As I mentioned before - a break of the &s neckline followed by a succesfull retest from the upside will make me change my bearish bias here.

edit: in addition a very interesting link (COT data for gold, silver,dxy) - thanks to Franosh - gives an idea who`s got an upper hand here

http://news.goldseek.com/COT/1246044847.php

Patryk
Attached Thumbnails
elliott-wave-trading-discussion-gold-1h.jpg  


Last edited by fazi; 06-30-2009 at 02:36 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #13772 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 02:45 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 1
rajagiri3 is an unknown quantity at this point
hi

You are probably one of the very few people on this forum, who keeps his position for strategic trading.


Reply With Quote
  #13773 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 02:47 AM
brad_1199's Avatar
Guest Moderator
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,179
brad_1199 is on a distinguished road
GBPUSD

Long Trade Has Now Been Triggered In Cable....

GBPUSD Daily Chart ------->



Reply With Quote
  #13774 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:13 AM
brad_1199's Avatar
Guest Moderator
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,179
brad_1199 is on a distinguished road
EURJPY

My EURJPY long trade remains in play from 134.50 .... Original stop was at 132.50 and has now been moved to 133.00 to further reduce risk.....

EURJPY DAILY CHART ------------>




Last edited by brad_1199; 06-30-2009 at 03:50 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #13775 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:35 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,163
ravno is an unknown quantity at this point
EUR.JPY

Ok, let me be a bear for this pair...

There is a clear 5 down on EUR.JPY.
See the 4 Hours chart below...
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #13776 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:52 AM
brad_1199's Avatar
Guest Moderator
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,179
brad_1199 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by ravno View Post
Ok, let me be a bear for this pair...

There is a clear 5 down on EUR.JPY.
See the 4 Hours chart below...
Ravno... I too have noticed this clear 5 wave decline in EURJPY on the shorter time frames... But until price comes under the lower rising diagonal triangle line on the daily chart, I stay in the bull camp...
Reply With Quote
  #13777 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 03:59 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,163
ravno is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by brad_1199 View Post
Ravno... I too have noticed this clear 5 wave decline in EURJPY on the shorter time frames... But until price comes under the lower rising diagonal triangle line on the daily chart, I stay in the bull camp...
Ok, it's your choice....
Reply With Quote
  #13778 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 05:15 AM
brad_1199's Avatar
Guest Moderator
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,179
brad_1199 is on a distinguished road
AUDJPY

Just look at the rally in AUDJPY, That is really impressive... I can't believe it's still going

AUDJPY Daily Chart ---->


Last edited by brad_1199; 06-30-2009 at 05:17 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #13779 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 05:17 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 142
pubber is an unknown quantity at this point
Quote:
Originally Posted by ravno View Post
Ok, it's your choice....
This is how I see the EURJPY right now, broke through resistance, a retest and move back up again. We should see 137.50 from here.
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #13780 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 05:26 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,163
ravno is an unknown quantity at this point
EUR.JPY

One could make the following setup for shorts in EUR.JPY...

Edit.
Pictures aren't the everything
So,

Enter 136.
Stop 139,50
Goal 128.
Attached Images
 

Last edited by ravno; 06-30-2009 at 05:28 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #13781 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 06:16 AM
qsx's Avatar
qsx qsx is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,144
qsx is an unknown quantity at this point
attempting a position trade here.. lets see if we can get it running, or get out at b/e at least.

my 30 pip target from yesterday is still running - which is basically a mistake i guess. still have no expirience with it, so i am not really sure how much to let it run and when to exit.. but i am leaving it the way i have programmed it.
now i am not really concerned with a 50 pip drawdown to get the 30 i planned, but my issue is that the original trade idea isnt valid anymore.
it ran 10 pip into profit and dropped to currently -25... while i fell asleep
Attached Thumbnails
elliott-wave-trading-discussion-usdchf1h.jpg  

Attached Images
 

Last edited by qsx; 06-30-2009 at 06:18 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #13782 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 06:37 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,163
ravno is an unknown quantity at this point
USD.JPY

Hey, this is the day of the clear 5 waves

Just found this one.
This time pretty short-term...

USD.JPY
5 min
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #13783 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 08:10 AM
qsx's Avatar
qsx qsx is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,144
qsx is an unknown quantity at this point
30 pips in the green - moving stop to breakeven..
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #13784 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 08:33 AM
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,606
Big Mike is on a distinguished road
EURUSD

A small dip before the wave 3 of III upwards.
For the ones that did not go long yet, this might be a good opportunity to jump on board.
Attached Images
 
Reply With Quote
  #13785 (permalink)  
Old 06-30-2009, 09:24 AM
qsx's Avatar
qsx qsx is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,144
qsx is an unknown quantity at this point
cycle fade trade

target hit.
+30 pips.

the magic of upside down money management.

i have to say i didnt care too much about the drawdown because there was this explosion elliot wave scenario, although the idea was basically to trade without forecasting..


and i am not sure how important exactly this dollar appreciation is today, alot of you are dollar bearish, and cable is at the moment 300 pips down in the matter of 8 hours, looks very much like a significant sentiment shift/trend change.

edit: taking half off on position trade at 1,0882 for +84 pips - other stop left at +10.
Attached Thumbnails
elliott-wave-trading-discussion-usdchf1minfade.jpg  


Last edited by qsx; 06-30-2009 at 10:01 AM..
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
5 waves, abc, corrective, count, elliott wave, ewi, extension, fib, fibonacci, impulse, prechter, retracement

Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off




Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Forex Capital Markets LLC. will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:17 PM.
Copyright ©2009 Daily FX. All Rights Reserved.