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View Poll Results: What impact will the ECB Rate Decision have on the Euro?

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Thread: Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst

  1. #39616
    MoneyInc. is offline Member
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    Thumbs up Cool Colly

    Quote Originally Posted by Colly View Post
    I have many views over different time-frames and work on a pure basis of probability.

    I share some, but no-where near all.... for the very purpose of concise-ness.

    My day chart RSI are showing HUGE disparity between the slow and faster and this also, usually, is so before a correction.

    As said from Monday, I am prepared to trade it down and have many times during this period, however, in doing so at this stage its only going to be from one Fibo retraction level to another because I pay due consideration to the strength values. They are my crystal ball if you like.
    Just check on my cool man, colly. How is trading going? are you board right now.

  2. #39617
    nopainnogain is offline Member
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    Thomas

    Quote Originally Posted by Thomas Long View Post
    The EUR/USD has not changed much in the last 24 hours, so we should assume that the downtrend is still in place. This current series of higher lows and higher highs while the daily chart shows a downtrend represents a selling opportunity when the trader feels that the sentiment has changed back to the downside. A move down through the previous low of 1.22409 increases the chance of the sellers coming back in to take control of this market so that would be one way to get into a new sell position. Taking a quick look at the strong trending move up by this pair between April and December of 2009 notes four moves against the trend. They lasted between seven and 10 days and measured between 375 and 590 pips. This current move up against the trend has lasted nine days and measured 540 pips. While this alone does not confirm the downtrend, it does show that this move against the trend is typical and hardly a reason to assume the trend has changed to the upside.
    very powerful information.Thanks

  3. #39618
    Colly is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoneyInc. View Post
    Just check on my cool man, colly. How is trading going? are you board right now.
    There is "cool" and "cool". Our definitions may vary, but if I come across as some erratic and out-of-control individual then all credence to the remark.

    My trading? $3.7M profit year-to-date.

    Am I onboard? Maybe

  4. #39619
    nopainnogain is offline Member
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    thomas

    Quote Originally Posted by Thomas Long View Post
    The EUR/USD has not changed much in the last 24 hours, so we should assume that the downtrend is still in place. This current series of higher lows and higher highs while the daily chart shows a downtrend represents a selling opportunity when the trader feels that the sentiment has changed back to the downside. A move down through the previous low of 1.22409 increases the chance of the sellers coming back in to take control of this market so that would be one way to get into a new sell position. Taking a quick look at the strong trending move up by this pair between April and December of 2009 notes four moves against the trend. They lasted between seven and 10 days and measured between 375 and 590 pips. This current move up against the trend has lasted nine days and measured 540 pips. While this alone does not confirm the downtrend, it does show that this move against the trend is typical and hardly a reason to assume the trend has changed to the upside.
    little eariy to tell but you could end up with a head & shoulder. that would eat up a little time

  5. #39620
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    cw1
    cw1 is offline Gold Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thomas Long View Post
    The EUR/USD has not changed much in the last 24 hours, so we should assume that the downtrend is still in place. This current series of higher lows and higher highs while the daily chart shows a downtrend represents a selling opportunity when the trader feels that the sentiment has changed back to the downside. A move down through the previous low of 1.22409 increases the chance of the sellers coming back in to take control of this market so that would be one way to get into a new sell position. Taking a quick look at the strong trending move up by this pair between April and December of 2009 notes four moves against the trend. They lasted between seven and 10 days and measured between 375 and 590 pips. This current move up against the trend has lasted nine days and measured 540 pips. While this alone does not confirm the downtrend, it does show that this move against the trend is typical and hardly a reason to assume the trend has changed to the upside.
    Wow, that was a really good post and apprecieate that thanks Thomas. Your posts are very informative of the big picture... Nice thanks
    Take your profits or the market will take it from you....

  6. #39621
    nopainnogain is offline Member
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    ????????????????????????????

    Quote Originally Posted by Colly View Post
    There is "cool" and "cool". Our definitions may vary, but if I come across as some erratic and out-of-control individual then all credence to the remark.

    My trading? $3.7M profit year-to-date.

    Am I onboard? Maybe
    is that a M or D

  7. #39622
    Colly is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by nopainnogain View Post
    is that a M or D
    I wouldn't know what a "D" is, but do know what K, M and B stand for.

  8. #39623
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoneyInc. View Post
    Don't confuse people. You know and I know this pair is in for a reverse. Take a look at the Chart see the doji, see the down trend. See others predictions. Forget about it! Its not going to happen. Follow your skills The're Great. and keep us informed you help us make MONEY... Real Talk as a Trader.
    Speaking of candles, you've seen the weekly candles? Higher highs and higher lows on the daily.

    Wow, Colly EG may have hit some type of resistance.

    A-Yo Bro
    Go ahead switch the style up' And if they hate then let them hate and watch the money pile up.'

  9. #39624
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    cw1
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    Cool

    Quote Originally Posted by MoneyInc. View Post
    Just check on my cool man, colly. How is trading going? are you board right now.
    I hope you dont take this the wrong way but i have no idea what your talkin about and cant seem to follow your posts well?
    Take your profits or the market will take it from you....

  10. #39625
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    Thumbs up Jamie Saettele's prediction

    I have to give Jamie credit. I think in the beginning of this week he took a E/U long position, predicting further gains in the pair. Many on this forum (me included) laughed at that, thinking the guy went crazy, going long against the Trend. Turned out his long would've made quite a profit.

    Here's to you Jamie! Sorry for doubting you.
    "Excuse me, I believe you have my stapler."

  11. #39626
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    Quote Originally Posted by cw1 View Post
    I hope you dont take this the wrong way but i have no idea what your talkin about and cant seem to follow your posts well?
    I think someone in Texas had Irish coffee this morning.
    "Excuse me, I believe you have my stapler."

  12. #39627
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    cw1
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    Quote Originally Posted by martyman13 View Post
    I think someone in Texas had Irish coffee this morning.
    Yah kinda not sure wether its down or up or aybe i should be drinking this coffee!!
    Take your profits or the market will take it from you....

  13. #39628
    MoneyInc. is offline Member
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    Thumbs up Sorry CW1

    Quote Originally Posted by cw1 View Post
    I hope you dont take this the wrong way but i have no idea what your talkin about and cant seem to follow your posts well?
    For those post you don't understand feel free to ask me but they are directed to certain individuals in the forum, they understand what I am talking about.

    So Which post are you refering to buddy? I will try to clearify.

  14. #39629
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    weekly..


  15. #39630
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    cw1
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    Quote Originally Posted by AyoBro View Post
    Speaking of candles, you've seen the weekly candles? Higher highs and higher lows on the daily.

    Wow, Colly EG may have hit some type of resistance.

    A-Yo Bro

    We do have higher highs and lower lows , but we did also have the same on the last bounce a while back. Im not getting too excited about long term long positions here, not yet. im still looking at 90% trading short here
    Take your profits or the market will take it from you....

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