That's totally logic brother ... but may you show me how did you initiate your position ? did you follow fundamental basis? pivots? rsi? divergence?
And what do you expect it to move after FOMC ?
Many thanks
My entry was determined from a few factors, it broke minor support, and rejected of the 5 and 9 ema very hard, shown on the candle chart, and there was a gap in market balance which i expected to be filled,shown by the balance point chart, as far as the FOMC, if they are hawkish in their comments, i would imagine the dollar will strengthen quite a bit, if they are dovish in their comments, the dollar will weaken
Last edited by FLFOREX; 08-10-2010 at 02:04 PM.
Reason: spelling
I don't know why you think there would be another leg up after the FOMC. Market participants may be expecting to hear something about another round of QE from the Fed which is unlikely to happen. If they say anything even slightly optimistic the dollar could really explode
oh well, it did explode with another leg up.
possible count updated
even if wrong and the yellow 4C is wave 1 instead, it still need to correct at least 50%, which i have exploited
Fed says will keep holdings of securities at current level by reinvesting principal payments from agency debt, MBS in longer-term treasuries
■Will continue to roll over holdings of treasury securities as they mature
■To keep rates exceptionally low for an extended period of time, keeps fed funds rate at zero to 0.25% range
■Pace of recovery has slowed in recent months
■Pace of recovery is likely to be more modest in near term than had been anticipated
■Will provide technical guidance on operations later this afternoon
■Measures of inflation have trended lower in recent quarters
■Inflation likely to be subdued for some time
■Household spending increasing gradually but constrained by high unemployment, housing, tight credit
■Vote on policy was 9-1 with Hoenig dissenting
■Fed will monitor outlook and employ policy tools as necessary to promote recovery
I hope you profited on the explosion. My take is that their statement and market action means the commodity currrencies will be weak going forward. Long gbp/aud and long usd/cad.
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