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View Poll Results: What impact will the ECB Rate Decision have on the Euro?

Voters
71. This poll is closed
  • Send Euro Higher!

    19 26.76%
  • Send the Euro Lower!

    48 67.61%
  • Will have no effect.

    4 5.63%
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Thread: Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst

  1. #73126
    rcopadilla is offline Member
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    At R1, took short scalp profits.

    The minimum target before any upside reversal is the 30min Boll20 midline around 1.3163. That means a little more downside is to be expected.

    Will probably do more shorting around the 5min Boll20 midline around 1.3190.

  2. #73127
    Gregory McLeod's Avatar
    Gregory McLeod is offline DailyFX Moderator/Trader
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    Daily SSI Report for 4/20/2012

    Daily SSI Report for 4/20/2012 - Good Morning Traders! Happy Friday to you. I hope you are awash in Pips!

    Looks like Euro bears have gotten themselves trapped. But they are still shorting the Euro. SSI points to more gains for the Euro. The G20 may surprise with some sort of solution to the sovereign debt crisis.

    Look at the over 6:1 Ratio of Short versus longs on the GBP/USD!!

    Happy Trading!

    Greg

    EURUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at -1.67 as nearly 63% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.39 as 58% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 6.8% lower than yesterday and 16.1% weaker since last week. Short positions are 11.8% higher than yesterday and 40.9% stronger since last week. Open interest is 4.0% stronger than yesterday and 4.4% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more EURUSD gains.
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  3. #73128
    rcopadilla is offline Member
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    At 5min upper band. Lower high w neg d. on tick chart. More shorts
    Last edited by rcopadilla; 04-20-2012 at 09:47 AM. Reason: more info

  4. #73129
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    Wink

    sorry guys it's wrong chart ,i sure we call this stress
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  5. #73130
    analyzer is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by rcopadilla View Post
    At 5min upper band. Lower high w neg d. on tick chart. More shorts
    well, i somewhat added to my short by shorting eur/jpy @107.82

  6. #73131
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    Ebb and Flow

    As long as the USDOLLAR trends lower we'll see support here. The SEK is my favorite USDOLLAR leading (or so it seems) most of the time indicator for Ebb and Flow. As long as the USDOLLAR trends down we'll see support in the EUR. I think it's time for some brisket chop to go along with this Euro pattern for lunch.

    Good Weekend All.

    -Rod
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  7. #73132
    rcopadilla is offline Member
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    The 5min 250EMA is around 1.3155 and rising.

    That is also the current level of the 15min lower Boll20.
    The price will probably be closer to 1.3160 by the time those lines are tagged. Plan to stop countertrend scalping at that point.

  8. #73133
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    HOLY GBP. These guys are nuts, we are clearing the 200 week moving average this week for the first time since 8/2008 ! black swan gbp situation at fxcm coming soon?

    Quote Originally Posted by Gregory McLeod View Post
    Daily SSI Report for 4/20/2012 - Good Morning Traders! Happy Friday to you. I hope you are awash in Pips!

    Looks like Euro bears have gotten themselves trapped. But they are still shorting the Euro. SSI points to more gains for the Euro. The G20 may surprise with some sort of solution to the sovereign debt crisis.

    Look at the over 6:1 Ratio of Short versus longs on the GBP/USD!!

    Happy Trading!

    Greg

    EURUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at -1.67 as nearly 63% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.39 as 58% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 6.8% lower than yesterday and 16.1% weaker since last week. Short positions are 11.8% higher than yesterday and 40.9% stronger since last week. Open interest is 4.0% stronger than yesterday and 4.4% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more EURUSD gains.
    Gregory McLeod likes this.

  9. #73134
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    Thanks for the SSI update Greg.
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  10. #73135
    rcopadilla is offline Member
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    Spanked, ouch

    That's the risk when countertrend trading. Will reshort the spiker since R2 was tagged.
    Last edited by rcopadilla; 04-20-2012 at 10:12 AM. Reason: more info

  11. #73136
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    here is what im talking about with the GBP. target 1 1.6700 ish on weekly .

    Risk to that move is below the 100 WMA and trendline.

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  12. #73137
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    Rcopadilla I admire you. I wonder where you find so much unstoppable energy. You remind me this advertisement... I think your motto must be something like this "last longer, much longer" or "when other stops you keep going"... lol

    Duracell Race Plus Battery TV Commercial - UK - YouTube

  13. #73138
    analyzer is offline Member
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    Thumbs down

    Quote Originally Posted by analyzer View Post
    well, i somewhat added to my short by shorting eur/jpy @107.82
    well my eur/usd stopped out
    waiting to see if eur/jpy gets stopped out as well 108. 07

  14. #73139
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    I think your response should have been "Holy GBP Batman, look at those shorts!" Batman swivels head looking for confirmation. ROFL, I just could not help myself, all in jest!

    Quote Originally Posted by psperos View Post
    HOLY GBP. These guys are nuts, we are clearing the 200 week moving average this week for the first time since 8/2008 ! black swan gbp situation at fxcm coming soon?
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  15. #73140
    turmaz is offline Member
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    hello again

    atr resistance at 3233 channel resistance at 3244 if you look down on my chart you will notice we just broke the macd resistance line which is showing the power of bulls and trapping the bears to be squeezed quickly

    thank you trade well and use leverage wisely as its our best friend and worst enemy!
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