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View Poll Results: What impact will the ECB Rate Decision have on the Euro?

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    48 67.61%
  • Will have no effect.

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Thread: Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst

  1. #73651
    turmaz is offline Member
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    i expect the prices to be slow today between two supp and res angle lines shown in the chart,

    1.3272-74 is important number plus downside 1.3187 is important,
    personally im watching 1.3272-74, though i will watch 1.3187 too
    lol!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-usd.jpg  


  2. #73652
    turmaz is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Clivewaverider View Post
    I'd be really happy to have got 1.3130 - you got a discount scheme going with your broker?

    lol

    sorry its actually 1.3230

  3. #73653
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    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    lol

    sorry its actually 1.3230
    My head cold is starting to lift - starting to see things a bit clearer! Have a good day's trading Turmaz
    Daily Journal & 'Lines in the Sky' are located at http://iquaestor.blogspot.co.uk/

  4. #73654
    turmaz is offline Member
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    s/o -14 pips

  5. #73655
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    stryker is online now Moderator
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    short on gu 6300 kicked in and about to hit longs on eur around 3202-10 supp..almsot dual..
    will keep stops tight else risk is to 3170 drop..

    GL..
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-eur-3210-20-supp.jpg  

    cw1 and chaudhry like this.
    Patience is virtue. The sooner we learn this all, sooner we can start walking to the bank. Good Luck to all of us—
    The trick is to wait the price meet ur limits, instead of one jumping in.. however scalps is a totally different scenario and is not everyone's cup of tea
    Disclaimer: I'm not at all suggesting trades when by either posting the graphs, or my entries. You can view it, but in the end you have to use your own logic and approach, as there is no certainty about this uncertain market...

  6. #73656
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    still in general holding long ( been in and out- now back in) targeting the 200 dma on the daily.

    I don't trade gold but am watching for a breakout soon for some cross market confirmation



    Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-eur200.jpg
    Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-gold-resistance.jpg

  7. #73657
    turmaz is offline Member
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    re entered 1.3219 almost the same level where i s/o, "Revenge trading" with technical reason lol
    tp is the same 3272-74
    stop just under the recent lows!

    caution! revenge trading is bad for account equity health and can cause serious damage!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-usd.jpg  

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  8. #73658
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    I entered here as well, testing the 50% of Fridays rally and 100 bar moving average as support. Offers a good spot to get long with a tight stop and possible 100+pip target. Yellow areas on my chart are areas i am looking to buy. red is where longs get complicated

    Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-eursupprt.jpg

    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    re entered 1.3219 almost the same level where i s/o, "Revenge trading" with technical reason lol
    tp is the same 3272-74
    stop just under the recent lows!

    caution! revenge trading is bad for account equity health and can cause serious damage!
    turmaz likes this.

  9. #73659
    Miguel is offline Member
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    Contrarian opinion?

    Waiting at 1.3270-1.3280 to short EUR/USD, but began to worry cause I think eveybody is now bullish with Euro, and expected 1.33 for target point.

    Could be the time for a reversal, while everybody is waiting for a better opportunity to short at a best price.

    We are to close to the upper channel and if we turns here, whenever we notice the channel won´t be touch again could have lost a good opportunity.

    Time will telll... Have a good Monday (festive in Spain from Monday to Wednesday...no coments)

  10. #73660
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    EURUSD

    I continue to scratch my head as to how we keep getting to different conclusions on this forum, or should I say why I am out of sorts with general consensus (again).

    Chart attached is an update of the one from the weekend and still offers no 'long' thought process for me at all. Add in the MyWave counts I posted and this continues to offer me nothing but reasons to short positive energy.

    I am always happy to be wrong (this being a risk based game) but I would not want to be long until my Stoch Moms (these are 8hr versions!!) have bottomed out and tested that MACD.

    Is it me? (no need to respond - I know it is!).
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-shortland.jpg  

    stryker and jogold18 like this.
    Daily Journal & 'Lines in the Sky' are located at http://iquaestor.blogspot.co.uk/

  11. #73661
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    Any chance of 1.31800

    I am holding out for a while see if I can get long at S1 = 1.31800. TP @ 132800 SL 131450 unless we snap up above 132250 before.

  12. #73662
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    it all depends on what you are using. I use no indicators except for a combined RSI and CCI indicator that is either green or blue, currently on the daily it is bullish but the trend is sideways...


    anyway, most of the people bullish here are not using indicators. Myself, i am buying into the trend that started in January, which is means that when i am trying to buy, it will likely mean its on a dip while your indicators are showing a pullback. Also i use very general wide points, for example, i will look at the rally in January as being supported, then used the 100dma as a level and say "while above the 100dma, i am looking to be long. So a lot can happen above the 100 dma, like right now you are getting short signals above the 100 dma, wheres i see we can pull back from here but will look to buy while above it.

    Basically what im trying to say is, everyone here is likely right on some time frame lol.

    here is the only indicator i use, its cci and rsi based and it just for a very general idea of direction. you can see now its bullish but look at how useless it was the last 3 months. I find it is good just to confirm bias based on other stuff... its helpful on the 4 hr as well. but you can see the majority of the trend has been up since January, which is the trend i am buying into with the idea the probability is higher it continues UP the longer it holds support ( 1.3000/1.2950)

    Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-ccirsi.jpg



    Quote Originally Posted by Clivewaverider View Post
    I continue to scratch my head as to how we keep getting to different conclusions on this forum, or should I say why I am out of sorts with general consensus (again).

    Chart attached is an update of the one from the weekend and still offers no 'long' thought process for me at all. Add in the MyWave counts I posted and this continues to offer me nothing but reasons to short positive energy.

    I am always happy to be wrong (this being a risk based game) but I would not want to be long until my Stoch Moms (these are 8hr versions!!) have bottomed out and tested that MACD.

    Is it me? (no need to respond - I know it is!).
    Last edited by psperos; 04-30-2012 at 08:43 AM. Reason: added chart
    Clivewaverider likes this.

  13. #73663
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    Quote Originally Posted by psperos View Post
    it all depends on what you are using. I use no indicators except for a combined RSI and CCI indicator that is either green or blue, currently on the daily it is bullish but the trend is sideways...


    anyway, most of the people bullish here are not using indicators. Myself, i am buying into the trend that started in January, which is means that when i am trying to buy, it will likely mean its on a dip while your indicators are showing a pullback. Also i use very general wide points, for example, i will look at the rally in January as being supported, then used the 100dma as a level and say "while above the 100dma, i am looking to be long. So a lot can happen above the 100 dma, like right now you are getting short signals above the 100 dma, wheres i see we can pull back from here but will look to buy while above it.

    Basically what im trying to say is, everyone here is likely right on some time frame lol.

    here is the only indicator i use, its cci and rsi based and it just for a very general idea of direction. you can see now its bullish but look at how useless it was the last 3 months. I find it is good just to confirm bias based on other stuff... its helpful on the 4 hr as well. but you can see the majority of the trend has been up since January, which is the trend i am buying into with the idea the probability is higher it continues UP the longer it holds support ( 1.3000/1.2950)

    Click image for larger version. 

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    Trend that started in January???? This is more of a range bound move and not really a trend. Play this like a trend and you just may get burned.

  14. #73664
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    Quote Originally Posted by Clivewaverider View Post
    I continue to scratch my head as to how we keep getting to different conclusions on this forum, or should I say why I am out of sorts with general consensus (again).

    Chart attached is an update of the one from the weekend and still offers no 'long' thought process for me at all. Add in the MyWave counts I posted and this continues to offer me nothing but reasons to short positive energy.

    I am always happy to be wrong (this being a risk based game) but I would not want to be long until my Stoch Moms (these are 8hr versions!!) have bottomed out and tested that MACD.

    Is it me? (no need to respond - I know it is!).
    Fact is, we are following an interesting pattern. If you look at the Euro component currencies from the mid-90s we are following almost lock step to that time frame. Event he recent range bound moves are included. IMHO, I think you are right about the shorts. As I posted I went short at 1.3250 late last week and will hold for a while. The top is setting and upward momentum is playing out.

  15. #73665
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    Quote Originally Posted by stkelrey View Post
    Trend that started in January???? This is more of a range bound move and not really a trend. Play this like a trend and you just may get burned.
    1000% disagree, on the daily chart there is an acceleration up that started in January and the range bound action the last 3 months has retraced only 50%. Its not my opinion, the chart is saying that. That tells me to buy dips till it fails the range and we are trading sideways with bullish support. this is why people trying to short have been getting burned as it keeps bouncing off 1.300.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-eurtrnd.jpg  

    Last edited by psperos; 04-30-2012 at 09:24 AM. Reason: chart

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