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View Poll Results: What impact will the ECB Rate Decision have on the Euro?

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71. This poll is closed
  • Send Euro Higher!

    19 26.76%
  • Send the Euro Lower!

    48 67.61%
  • Will have no effect.

    4 5.63%
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Thread: Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst

  1. #73801
    cw1's Avatar
    cw1
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    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    ok good but if 10x10=10 resulted all in minus then it would be -100 pips for the day
    lol just kidding sir!
    lol yep true and if that did happen then of course it shouldnt as trader should have re evaluated his entries in line with trend for the day if any the trusted trend lines and of course indies.

    oh and one more thing the warm love and honour from the wife ,, while slaving over the cooker ...
    Last edited by cw1; 05-02-2012 at 05:23 AM.
    Take your profits or the market will take it from you....

  2. #73802
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    i have support in this area as well, but am going to hold out, euro on theses drops tends to do deeper and my next support is 3100. with the range this wide now maybe they run every level? lol

  3. #73803
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    Gregory McLeod is online now DailyFX Moderator/Trader
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    Thumbs up DailyFX Global Economic Calendar for Wednesday, May 2nd 2012

    DailyFX Global Economic Calendar for week Ending May 4th 2012

    Hello Traders,

    I am back from a most needed vacation and look forward to some great trading this week. With the Euro breaking below the psychological 1.3200 today, the 8:30 AM ET US data points will come into focus. Will these events reverse the Euro's decline or accelerate its demise?

    With the all important US Non-Farm payroll number out Friday, it is unusual to see these big swings ahead of the release. But as always, the market can do whatever it wants when it wants!

    Happy Pipping!

    Regards,

    Greg McLeod
    DailyFX Forum Moderator/Trader
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  4. #73804
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    cw1
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    Quote Originally Posted by cw1 View Post
    3184
    3125
    3086/90

    these tgts are still valid from earlier post as long as 3235 holds using mixture of fib calcs and just damn good predictive possibilities based on indicators etc,etc

    see ya on the dance floor
    can we see tgt 2 on my list here : almost there ..... wife is cooking, dog is smiling, kid at school, no time to be a fool......
    chaudhry likes this.
    Take your profits or the market will take it from you....

  5. #73805
    turmaz is online now Member
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    stopped -15

  6. #73806
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
    Alejandro Zambrano is online now DailyFX Moderator
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    EUR/USD bears

    Anyone that has been looking to go short for the last two weeks - can be a bit happier now - we have traded under so many support levels that it looks like we are going to trade lower for the next few sessions. I would not go short right now rather on a correction against the 1.3285 high. The only thing that disturb this picture is Friday's US NFP.


    4hr
    Last edited by Alejandro Zambrano; 05-02-2012 at 06:05 AM.
    cw1 and chaudhry like this.

  7. #73807
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    EURUSD

    Progress of retracement chart - at 50% from 1.2994. 1 day MA band not twitching yet - consolidation is my play for now back into band and regression channel perimeter.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-1day.jpg  

    Last edited by Clivewaverider; 05-02-2012 at 05:40 AM.
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  8. #73808
    turmaz is online now Member
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    start of new down trend on 4 hr tf?

    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    stopped -15
    hello traders its a quick update of my charts, today i was short took some profit, took a long at 3168 booked a loss @ 3153 -15 pips that was good trade even with a loss of -15 pips cos i played by my game plan, now i re entered long again at 3140 only after the confirmation the the uptrend has finished, wait the uptrend has finished then why are you taking long? bcos the mechanics says that when the swing lows on 240 min TF taken out at least by 25 pips then its time for the retrace most probably not always as most of u know that but i m lil aggressive trader too, the retrace should be to the retest of last upline on the 4 hr TF or the major fib levels i.e 61%, 50% or 38%.
    we sell short only at those fib levels only if we see weakness and rejection on 15min and 60 time frames, to me if we get to 1.3220ish area its a good short

    for this current trade long at 3140 im using a little wider stop because of increased volatility by decreasing my position size the stops are under 3120, you may say im using stops between 20-30 pips with price targeting 3185 and 3206.
    thank you and chart attached
    good luck!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-usd.jpg  


  9. #73809
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    Quote Originally Posted by Clivewaverider View Post
    Progress of retracement chart - at 50% from 1.2994. 1 day MA band not twitching yet - consolidation is my play for now back into band and regression channel perimeter.
    what i'm lookin at, just can't post charts from where i am...

    shorts have reduced a bit in the last hour from 61>59%, stopping the trend, but perhaps we'll see an acceleration upwards this afternoon

  10. #73810
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    Quote Originally Posted by stkelrey View Post
    O.K. I'm short at 1.3250 and will short again at 1.33 if we reach it. Place 1/2 SL at 1.3350 with remaining 1/2 SL at 1.34. Initial target is 1.2950, then 1.2850.
    still holding, looks like the initial move has started but suspect this will still see some fight on the way down.

  11. #73811
    turmaz is online now Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    hello traders its a quick update of my charts, today i was short took some profit, took a long at 3168 booked a loss @ 3153 -15 pips that was good trade even with a loss of -15 pips cos i played by my game plan, now i re entered long again at 3140 only after the confirmation the the uptrend has finished, wait the uptrend has finished then why are you taking long? bcos the mechanics says that when the swing lows on 240 min TF taken out at least by 25 pips then its time for the retrace most probably not always as most of u know that but i m lil aggressive trader too, the retrace should be to the retest of last upline on the 4 hr TF or the major fib levels i.e 61%, 50% or 38%.
    we sell short only at those fib levels only if we see weakness and rejection on 15min and 60 time frames, to me if we get to 1.3220ish area its a good short

    for this current trade long at 3140 im using a little wider stop because of increased volatility by decreasing my position size the stops are under 3120, you may say im using stops between 20-30 pips with price targeting 3185 and 3206.
    thank you and chart attached
    good luck!
    3157 could potentially be a short term resistance which may turn into major, other potential res are 3170-75 and 3204-20 imp one

    and on the downside if we continue to slide lower then 3107-08; to me worst case scenario is 3058
    good luck and use leverage wisely!

  12. #73812
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    Quote Originally Posted by stkelrey View Post
    still holding, looks like the initial move has started but suspect this will still see some fight on the way down.
    we're below R2 so i'd be cautious on holding on for a move past R3 (13120)

  13. #73813
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    Quote Originally Posted by MysticMegatron View Post
    we're below R2 so i'd be cautious on holding on for a move past R3 (13120)
    I really trade in both longer term and shorter term. I am holding this trade long term so I don't mind holding for a couple of months or so. I think the targets may take weeks to more than a month from here. I then ride the long term target down with short term daily goals so typically I can double the pips in a range.

    But thank you for the word of caution. Always good to get and hear input.
    cw1 likes this.

  14. #73814
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    Cool

    Same old plan as i mentioned few days back,
    Daily moved as expected, i ve a looner short from 3254 since yesterday still holdin for 116+ pips,
    n did some scalps in between for 55 pips,
    lookin for a move down to 3080 area as per daily n weekly,
    a small bounce back to daily S2 or 3160 before a fall is expected....

    Gudluck N Happy Trading
    ~ chaudhry ~
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    stryker, cw1 and jogold18 like this.
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  15. #73815
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    hi,

    arround 1.32 a perfect bearish 5-0 reversal pattern would be formed

    Patryk
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-eur-1h.jpg  


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