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View Poll Results: What impact will the ECB Rate Decision have on the Euro?

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71. This poll is closed
  • Send Euro Higher!

    19 26.76%
  • Send the Euro Lower!

    48 67.61%
  • Will have no effect.

    4 5.63%
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Thread: Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst

  1. #74821
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    Quote Originally Posted by stryker View Post
    did a GU 4 hrs layout on GBP section and I have all the reason to belive we be heading lower to the current supp for a 5790 showdown.. IF so euro to 2603 is getting possible as well.. I have taken scalps longs on GU out for a scalp.. not gonna fight this one out .. not when it is going picture perfect...
    On the USD front the question is whether it will top off here or whether it will top off the reiss for a more bullish move ...
    10141-44 is key for today.. USD is current price action..

    GL..
    Does anyone else look at the shape/form of the longer term USdollar wave and think it looks perculiar? Sort of B wavey?
    Daily Journal & 'Lines in the Sky' are located at http://iquaestor.blogspot.co.uk/

  2. #74822
    AV1
    AV1 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by stryker View Post
    did a GU 4 hrs layout on GBP section and I have all the reason to belive we be heading lower to the current supp for a 5790 showdown.. IF so euro to 2603 is getting possible as well.. I have taken scalps longs on GU out for a scalp.. not gonna fight this one out .. not when it is going picture perfect...
    On the USD front the question is whether it will top off here or whether it will top off the reiss for a more bullish move ...
    10141-44 is key for today.. USD is current price action..

    GL..
    Man you are good with those lines, there's no joke. Wonderful.
    stryker likes this.

  3. #74823
    turmaz is offline Member
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    the tricky part!

    i am waiting for the tricky part for this pair on weekly time frame, the tricky part is weekly closing support is 1.2676 i want to see if prices turn from 1.2677. yes this is my number to be respected 1.2677 not 2681 which is current low. if prices turn exactly from 1.2677 and at the mean time gold respected the current low and should not break 1522 dec 29 low then its bottom for euro for short time

    alternate view is if no respect for 2677 my number and comes down then its not a bottom we might see prices below 2650 or 2633 or break of jan 13 low 2624

    then we can highly and most likely to expect bounce from one of these two numbers 2633/2613
    good luck all
    and this is very well said

    "Patience is virtue. The sooner we learn this all, sooner we can start walking to the bank."

  4. #74824
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    See where it will stop...


  5. #74825
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    Quote Originally Posted by AV1 View Post
    Guess what it's there...


    Attachment 127756
    that's an ascending triangle.. that points to a mega bullish stance on USD if breaks higher...

    GL..
    AV1 and jogold18 like this.
    Patience is virtue. The sooner we learn this all, sooner we can start walking to the bank. Good Luck to all of us—
    The trick is to wait the price meet ur limits, instead of one jumping in.. however scalps is a totally different scenario and is not everyone's cup of tea
    Disclaimer: I'm not at all suggesting trades when by either posting the graphs, or my entries. You can view it, but in the end you have to use your own logic and approach, as there is no certainty about this uncertain market...

  6. #74826
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    Quote Originally Posted by AV1 View Post
    Man you are good with those lines, there's no joke. Wonderful.
    YEa, I keep tellin myself I got lucky once again...

    GL...
    Patience is virtue. The sooner we learn this all, sooner we can start walking to the bank. Good Luck to all of us—
    The trick is to wait the price meet ur limits, instead of one jumping in.. however scalps is a totally different scenario and is not everyone's cup of tea
    Disclaimer: I'm not at all suggesting trades when by either posting the graphs, or my entries. You can view it, but in the end you have to use your own logic and approach, as there is no certainty about this uncertain market...

  7. #74827
    MOZI32 is offline Member
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    Good day

    About map

    Here my map as well on weekly
    As u see there is a good support here , but while below 1.2875/80 i still see a test to 1.2550 before a real reversal may happend .

    Only a direct break above 1.2875 would help to reach 1.3050 ( unlikely before we test 1.2550)


    Also i have added Dollar index , lets see what will happend .
    Good luck
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-euro.jpg  

    Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-urrrr.jpg  

    Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-usd-index.jpg  

    Last edited by MOZI32; 05-16-2012 at 07:51 AM. Reason: charts
    jogold18 likes this.

  8. #74828
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    Quote Originally Posted by MOZI32 View Post
    About map

    Here my map as well on weekly
    As u see there is a good support here , but while below 1.2875/80 i still see a test to 1.2550 before a real reversal may happend .

    Only a direct break above 1.2875 would help to reach 1.3050 ( unlikely before we test 1.2550)

    Good luck
    Mozi, how did you get your 2550 number? I run a range model with this year's yearly range low at 12545 (could be extended to 2299), which I'd expected the January low to reach and hold above there but it stopped at 70+ odd pips above that. If we are now going down there and can hold above, then it will be very bullish for Euro.

  9. #74829
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    Quote Originally Posted by MOZI32 View Post
    About map

    Here my map as well on weekly
    As u see there is a good support here , but while below 1.2875/80 i still see a test to 1.2550 before a real reversal may happend .

    Only a direct break above 1.2875 would help to reach 1.3050 ( unlikely before we test 1.2550)

    Good luck
    Nice charts. I'll be covering my longs again around 1.2800 ish, if we get follow through here. Then a drop would be most welcome!
    MOZI32 likes this.
    Daily Journal & 'Lines in the Sky' are located at http://iquaestor.blogspot.co.uk/

  10. #74830
    AV1
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    Quote Originally Posted by MOZI32 View Post
    About map

    Here my map as well on weekly
    As u see there is a good support here , but while below 1.2875/80 i still see a test to 1.2550 before a real reversal may happend .

    Only a direct break above 1.2875 would help to reach 1.3050 ( unlikely before we test 1.2550)

    Good luck
    When I did my MAP I recalled same level you're seing and that alignes well with everything and therefore I anticipate fifth wave to END there. Nice spotting.
    MOZI32 likes this.

  11. #74831
    AV1
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    Quote Originally Posted by stryker View Post
    YEa, I keep tellin myself I got lucky once again...

    GL...

    You may have been lucky to start with lines but now after HARD WORK and UP and DOWNS, you're being rewarded.

  12. #74832
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    EURUSD

    My range model is almost there - 1.2594, but currently holding in the bullish side of the current timesquare (blue box). This also coincides with my 2 day Hull MA price envelope (exactly) which sits right at that square edge at the moment.

    The thick dividing blue line could likely become the trend/resistance line for fourth wave plays - would love to see something complex and long now to range trade the hell out of it and bring my longs down in price (selling spikes as cover and and banking at the blue line). This would hold as my play as long as the pink 2 day Hull stays pink (for sell), even if price moved above. If it turns gold for up, then time to stop covering my longs!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-range.jpg  

    Daily Journal & 'Lines in the Sky' are located at http://iquaestor.blogspot.co.uk/

  13. #74833
    MOZI32 is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Franosh View Post
    Mozi, how did you get your 2550 number? I run a range model with this year's yearly range low at 12545 (could be extended to 2299), which I'd expected the January low to reach and hold above there but it stopped at 70+ odd pips above that. If we are now going down there and can hold above, then it will be very bullish for Euro.
    it s my 2.618 for the last (1 & 2 ) move break and 78.6% (1.19-1.49) and previous bottom 1.2620 so i round them at 1.2550 .( Also the triangle break target )

    of Course at some point we could turn very bulish , but we need some confirmation otherwise it should be down till 1.2100 it s my next level if we continue through 1.2500

    Good luck
    Last edited by MOZI32; 05-16-2012 at 08:26 AM.

  14. #74834
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    Quote Originally Posted by Clivewaverider View Post
    My range model is almost there - 1.2594, but currently holding in the bullish side of the current timesquare (blue box). This also coincides with my 2 day Hull MA price envelope (exactly) which sits right at that square edge at the moment.

    The thick dividing blue line could likely become the trend/resistance line for fourth wave plays - would love to see something complex and long now to range trade the hell out of it and bring my longs down in price (selling spikes as cover and and banking at the blue line). This would hold as my play as long as the pink 2 day Hull stays pink (for sell), even if price moved above. If it turns gold for up, then time to stop covering my longs!
    Don't know on EW but I have a possible tgt of 2599-2603 agaisnt the 2742 hold...

    GL..
    Patience is virtue. The sooner we learn this all, sooner we can start walking to the bank. Good Luck to all of us—
    The trick is to wait the price meet ur limits, instead of one jumping in.. however scalps is a totally different scenario and is not everyone's cup of tea
    Disclaimer: I'm not at all suggesting trades when by either posting the graphs, or my entries. You can view it, but in the end you have to use your own logic and approach, as there is no certainty about this uncertain market...

  15. #74835
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    Quote Originally Posted by stryker View Post
    Don't know on EW but I have a possible tgt of 2599-2603 agaisnt the 2742 hold...

    GL..
    This is Gann saquares and regression analysis but all based on price action, so no wonder we are all somewhere in the same place. I am very very wary of upside bullets, so keeping longs in play as main game plan and covering when market does not want to believe me!!
    Daily Journal & 'Lines in the Sky' are located at http://iquaestor.blogspot.co.uk/

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