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View Poll Results: What impact will the ECB Rate Decision have on the Euro?

Voters
71. This poll is closed
  • Send Euro Higher!

    19 26.76%
  • Send the Euro Lower!

    48 67.61%
  • Will have no effect.

    4 5.63%
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Thread: Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst

  1. #75181
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
    Alejandro Zambrano is online now DailyFX Moderator
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gregory McLeod View Post

    This G8 meeting will last 3 days and end Sunday. The statement following will be heavily watched as some type of collective intervention or other announcement could be in store!
    This is a good reason not keep positions over the weekend - even though I have not heard that G8 will present anything special. They tend to leak information if they do - not to surprise the markets. If they don't do anything then don't get surprised if we trade lower.
    SharonSS likes this.

  2. #75182
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
    Alejandro Zambrano is online now DailyFX Moderator
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    Quote Originally Posted by Robert Eckert View Post
    A lot of the people "buying" the euro in situations like today's are those who went short recently and are now cashing in their profits. When you find talk of a pair being "oversold" or "overbought" it means that there are heaps of speculative positions that have to unwind sometime, this unwinding forcing a significant retrace against the current before the underlying trend can resume.

    Thank you for helping out Robert, much appreciated - Yes I agree with Robert. We also have "real money" flows which are export and importers which secure currencies at interesting levels and we also have the retail crowd that want to fade this move. They believe that the market is oversold and want therefore a piece of the action - they buy when we create new lows.
    SharonSS likes this.

  3. #75183
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
    Alejandro Zambrano is online now DailyFX Moderator
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    Quote Originally Posted by SharonSS View Post
    Their IPO has certainly gotten constant media exposure.

    Does anyone know if a huge IPO is enough to move the market? Hope that's not a dumb question.
    John sheds a bit of light on the topic -> Can the Facebook IPO Revive Equities and Torpedo the US Dollar? | DailyFX

  4. #75184
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    correct but stop place it at .2762 and for entry i suggest to wait for one push up to 2740/45 and TP is correct too!
    how come you suggest to have the stop at 62 and not 60 ?

  5. #75185
    Gregory McLeod's Avatar
    Gregory McLeod is online now DailyFX Moderator/Trader
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    DailyFX Plus Technical Analyzer

    Hello Traders. If you are a live FXCM client you have access to the Technical Analyzer for free.
    You can login in here:https://plus.dailyfx.com/login/loginForm.jsp

    You can also request a 30 day free trial.

    Here is what it has to say about the Euro.

    Date: 2012/05/18
    Time: 16:16 (GMT +1)
    Ticker: EUR
    Last: 1.27145
    Pivot: 1.267
    1st sup. 1.267
    2nd sup. 1.264
    3rd sup. 1.26
    1st res. 1.276
    2nd res. 1.2815
    3rd res. 1.286
    Title: EUR/USD intraday: rebound.
    Summary: Update on supports and resistances.
    Story: Pivot: 1.267

    Our preference: Long positions above 1.267 with targets @ 1.276 & 1.2815 in extension.

    Alternative scenario: Below 1.267 look for further downside with 1.264 & 1.26 as targets.

    Comment: the pair is rebounding and is breaking above its bearish channel upper boundary.

    Key levels
    1.286
    1.2815
    1.276
    1.27145 last
    1.267
    1.264
    1.26

    Here is a temporary password to access DailyFX Plus...
    Username: dfxplus_public
    Password: Gbpusd0512
    (Login valid 5/15 - 5/31)
    Attached Images Attached Images  
    Last edited by Gregory McLeod; 05-18-2012 at 01:03 PM.
    SharonSS likes this.
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  6. #75186
    turmaz is online now Member
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    pheeewww

    again they closed just just above 2721 thank god such a relief again

    lol

    now 1.2744/45/46/47/48 wat eva
    SharonSS likes this.
    Thank you!
    FXTA

  7. #75187
    turmaz is online now Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    pheeewww

    again they closed just just above 2721 thank god such a relief again

    lol

    now 1.2744/45/46/47/48 wat eva
    i am on the verge of discovering a wonderfull system or i will be dead wrong!
    Thank you!
    FXTA

  8. #75188
    ericwong is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Robert Eckert View Post
    A lot of the people "buying" the euro in situations like today's are those who went short recently and are now cashing in their profits. When you find talk of a pair being "oversold" or "overbought" it means that there are heaps of speculative positions that have to unwind sometime, this unwinding forcing a significant retrace against the current before the underlying trend can resume.
    Thank you Robert. Really appreciate your help to clarify my doubts.

  9. #75189
    turmaz is online now Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alejandro Zambrano View Post
    how come you suggest to have the stop at 62 and not 60 ?
    to be little more safe because the swing high is 1.27582 and my this time/price techs can penetrate up 1.275900/1.27609 but not 1.2761 and if they penetrate the 1.2761 then forget about the 1.2660/65
    Thank you!
    FXTA

  10. #75190
    turmaz is online now Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    to be little more safe because the swing high is 1.27582 and my this time/price techs can penetrate up 1.275900/1.27609 but not 1.2761 and if they penetrate the 1.2761 then forget about the 1.2660/65
    to be more clear is that if penetration puncture 2761 then massive short covering may happen most prolly!
    Thank you!
    FXTA

  11. #75191
    turmaz is online now Member
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    for this hour the high has been made 1.27383 next hour i am expecting a spike upto 1.2744/53

    error +/- 5 pips
    Thank you!
    FXTA

  12. #75192
    castroyal is offline Member
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    Eur\Usd 5 min time frame
    Position building
    decrease risk, multiple profit!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-pb-strategy.jpg  

    Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-pb-strategy-2.jpg  

    Gregory McLeod and SharonSS like this.

  13. #75193
    rcopadilla is offline Member
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    5min chart

    Quote Originally Posted by turmaz View Post
    for this hour the high has been made 1.27383 next hour i am expecting a spike upto 1.2744/53

    error +/- 5 pips
    5min charts tends to agree with your targets.

  14. #75194
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
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    Facebook is up with about 12% on the opening - now please MR Market let go back and short the Euro
    buggypilot and Spyros like this.

  15. #75195
    fazi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alejandro Zambrano View Post
    Facebook is up with about 12% on the opening - now please MR Market let go back and short the Euro
    40 breached (for the first time) - impressive dumpathlon - ozzie not happy

    edit: 38.67 - 18 minutes after opening
    Last edited by fazi; 05-18-2012 at 11:48 AM.

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