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View Poll Results: What impact will the ECB Rate Decision have on the Euro?

Voters
71. This poll is closed
  • Send Euro Higher!

    19 26.76%
  • Send the Euro Lower!

    48 67.61%
  • Will have no effect.

    4 5.63%
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Thread: Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst

  1. #79951
    Foxy1's Avatar
    Foxy1 is offline Member
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    Turtle Traders

    Have you heard about the Turtle Taders great read http://www.dailystocks.com/turtlerules.pdf
    Last edited by Foxy1; 07-04-2012 at 07:57 AM.

  2. #79952
    MAXJOY's Avatar
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    This will be the first 4H candle closing in to that disputed area of 1.2560/80.
    What that could mean?
    My profit stop is at 1.2520, however the decline (if 1.2560 is broken) could reach the support area around 1.2450.

    Just my view I bet money on


    Quote Originally Posted by jogold18 View Post
    another short im taking for another low on 5 min, closed my short scalp when hit support, now its acting as resis.

    SUPPORT: 1.2555 (daily S2)

  3. #79953
    root-minus is offline Member
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    DX FUTURES15M LIQUIDITY GAP

    Quote Originally Posted by root-minus View Post
    Attachment 136516


    another market function, liquidty gap revisit and filling, note however - futures market is distinctly different from forex, gaps in forex are not the same as futures markets

    Closed: Discuss EUR/USD News with a DailyFX Analyst-dx.jpg



    just a reminder, be mindfold of this
    jogold18 likes this.

  4. #79954
    roddyportugal is offline Member
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    Descending triangle

    Hi fellow traders!

    Right now the only thing that seems to be working is the rather obvious descending triangle sitting on the the 1,25500/600 area. The descending line shouldn't allow price to go over 1,26, and if does approach it I would short the spike. Right now I'm long from 1,256 with a relatively tight stop, but the bounces from 1,255 are getting weaker and weaker.
    I don't really see any long position working beyond 1,26 until we get the ECB decision. I don't manage volatility well, so I'll stay put until it stabilizes after.
    Alejandro Zambrano likes this.

  5. #79955
    MAXJOY's Avatar
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    self-explanatory charts
    chaudhry and EuroTraderApp like this.

  6. #79956
    DolceVista is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by root-minus View Post
    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	dx.jpg 
Views:	51 
Size:	49.1 KB 
ID:	136962



    just a reminder, be mindfold of this
    It might be the problem of your chart's broker. There is no phyiscal gap there in both the futures and cash composite index. Some minor liquidity gap though.

  7. #79957
    root-minus is offline Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by DolceVista View Post
    It might be the problem of your chart's broker. There is no phyiscal gap there in both the futures and cash composite index. Some minor liquidity gap though.

    its not - its a liquidity gap on REOPENING

  8. #79958
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
    Alejandro Zambrano is offline DailyFX Moderator
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    DailyFX.com Bulls vs. Bears: The Spread Betting Morning Update July 4 - 2012

    Main presentation
    http://www.livestream.com/dailyfx/vi...9-9305ab250805

    QA Session
    QA Bulls vs bears spread betting market update July 4 2012on DailyFX Live Trading Room - live streaming video powered by Livestream


    EURUSD short term


    EURUSD

  9. #79959
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
    Alejandro Zambrano is offline DailyFX Moderator
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  10. #79960
    MAXJOY's Avatar
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    Symmetrical Triangle

    $EURUSD Chart.ly - CVecchioFX: Symmetrical Triangle - 1.2480 key for direction Symmetrical Triangle - 1.2480 key for direction

    Check the graph from Vecchio, don't forget that Symmetrical Triangles are usually a continuation patterns
    Alejandro Zambrano likes this.

  11. #79961
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    need to run back out again but came for a quickie chart lol

    i came back to see if i got stopped out. it missed my stop THIS TIME by 4 pips.

    its in between S1 (TURNED RESIS) and S2 support. if we break lower passed S2 (which is what i think will happen), ill be stopped and ill prob start looking for short swings. if we get back up, we have to some how find support on the 4 hour pivot. im guessing the way price is moving i will be stopped. pressure is still down and it wants to make up its mind, and only seems to be gaining speed, to the down side

    i had 5 scalps in EURUSD. 2 bad 3 good

    5 min momentum is down so i expect to be stopped out of my swing trades.

    NEXTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT!!!!!!

    got ta run..
    Attached Images Attached Images  
    look to the left, trade to the right........

    http://www.flickr.com/photos/jogoldfx/

  12. #79962
    NoGrn4grnhorn is offline Member
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    ecb rate decision

    I need clarification on how the rate decision will affect eur/usd...If there is no change from 1%, what will happen? If the rate decision is cut by a .25 point as forecasted, what will happen? If the cut is more than expected, what will happen....thanks ahead of time.....Maybe this is a question for Robert., but any help appreciated.

  13. #79963
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
    Alejandro Zambrano is offline DailyFX Moderator
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    GBP/USD I covered my short position as we closed into 1.56. -> setup http://forexforums.dailyfx.com/gbp-u...ml#post1225521

  14. #79964
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NoGrn4grnhorn View Post
    I need clarification on how the rate decision will affect eur/usd...If there is no change from 1%, what will happen? If the rate decision is cut by a .25 point as forecasted, what will happen? If the cut is more than expected, what will happen....thanks ahead of time.....Maybe this is a question for Robert., but any help appreciated.


    • In the short run I think we will get a positive reaction on a cut as this will boost risk appetite -> making it easier for the Euro countries to get out from slow growth + easier for companies to make money (higher stock markets).
    • If the cut is more that 25% then we don't need to rally because this means that markets are underestimating the severity of the current economics slowdown.
    • No Rate cut and we should also trade lower as we will be stuck in a low growth environment.

    The best way to trade this is however not trade it at all rather to wait until get a clear market reaction. We need to remember that we have the press conference after the announcement which can contradict with previous ECB statements and actions.

    So taking it easy it the best strategy.
    biggari, MAXJOY, garr70 and 2 others like this.

  15. #79965
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Foxy1 View Post
    Have you heard about the Turtle Taders great read http://www.dailystocks.com/turtlerules.pdf

    this is good stuff thank you for sharing. It was first when I read this document that I understood what a complete trading strategy is all about.

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