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  #841 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 12:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stryker View Post
i just bailed on my 1.4096 shorts for 1 pip loss..
i seems 1.4130-33 would do the trick for a 150 pip drop or so..
sell order now at 1.4125 and above at 1.4134, stops above 1.4157.
if sitting in rt direction euppy is fun to trade, only if sitting on the rt direction...

good luck to you man and if i may, if you a stal laround 1.4133, place more kamakazee shorts..
the gap from 1.3988-1.4020 needs to be filled as we hardly traded that zone......


GOOD LUCK..............

how can i post chart if i don't have MS WORD..
how can u directly post on the forum............
You dont need word to post a chart. I use irfanview. If you do not have it then you can download it for free at http://www.irfanview.com/
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  #842 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 12:39 PM
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Originally Posted by stryker View Post
how can i post chart if i don't have MS WORD..
how can u directly post on the forum............
You don't need MS word. Simply take a screen cap of your graph by hitting "Print screen" on your keyboard.

Copy-paste that into an image editing program. My preferred program for this quick and simple stuff is this guy (It's free): http://www.download.com/IrfanView/30...ml?tag=lst-0-1

Make sure the image is no wider than 750 pixels wide (else part of the image will be hidden by the ads to the right). In IrFan, just hit Ctrl+R and set width to 750.

Save the file as a .gif.

Go to attachments below the post, add attachment, add your graph.

I just made that sound a lot more complicated than it really is.
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  #843 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 12:42 PM
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Word on the street is that someone in europe just made a huge sell in EUR/USD.
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  #844 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 12:50 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AtlantaFX View Post
Word on the street is that someone in europe just made a huge sell in EUR/USD.
That's confirmed. A German bank to be exact, followed by a French name....
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  #845 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 01:14 PM
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New Special Report on DailyFX:

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  #846 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 01:22 PM
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Originally Posted by retired View Post
Thrifty are we? Touching 4096 as we speak- set to fall in a large way. Option barrier at 1.41 opens tomorrow. Things are coiled like a tight spring...
Thrifty? No, I just like to capitalize on opportunity. Most of the time.

I will agree with you on the fact that the EUR/USD shouldn't be where it is. I'll also agree that it should reverse. I'll even further agree with all of your statements regarding how a Euro at this level is crushing to the French, and damaging to many of the EMU members.

Doesn't change the fact that the currency will go up until it decides to come down. And no amount of shouting at the rain will amount to anything. The market will continue to remain irrational. Second guessing as to the why it is behaving this way is - at best - a waste of time.

I would also introduce that in going this high, the Euro is sowing the seeds to it's own destruction. The EMU is doomed for failure - I firmly believe it. When is a whole 'nother ballgame. But I've been following a blog/information site based on this theory and read some good papers on the topic. If someone wanted to create a sub forum, I would be happy to engage in this topic. But it's not for the EUR/USD pair analysis thread.
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  #847 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 01:31 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ivanovich View Post
Thrifty? No, I just like to capitalize on opportunity. Most of the time.

I will agree with you on the fact that the EUR/USD shouldn't be where it is. I'll also agree that it should reverse. I'll even further agree with all of your statements regarding how a Euro at this level is crushing to the French, and damaging to many of the EMU members.

Doesn't change the fact that the currency will go up until it decides to come down. And no amount of shouting at the rain will amount to anything. The market will continue to remain irrational. Second guessing as to the why it is behaving this way is - at best - a waste of time.

I would also introduce that in going this high, the Euro is sowing the seeds to it's own destruction. The EMU is doomed for failure - I firmly believe it. When is a whole 'nother ballgame. But I've been following a blog/information site based on this theory and read some good papers on the topic. If someone wanted to create a sub forum, I would be happy to engage in this topic. But it's not for the EUR/USD pair analysis thread.
Perhaps that is the stuborn side of me. I know soon it will come down. I would be very greatful if you could direct me to that website. The information I have been dissecting and digesting over the past few months has been quite frightening to say the least. Unless they do something soon, everyone will move to America.
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  #848 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 01:47 PM
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retired - you know damn well that EURUSD is not going to turn down until you capitulate, don't you?
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  #849 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 02:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stryker View Post
well.......... what i made on initial fiber shorts was given away.
however made handsome on my euppy shorts and rode it all the way to 160.88..
took small shorts on fiber at 1.4196 an d s/l 15 pips, and long on euppy from 160.75. looking for 161.30-45 and maybe around 1.4066 on fiber.......
just bailed on half euppy longs at 161.34. hopefully to see 161.57 getting printed and calling off the day..

thanks all, will try the irfan view and will find out how it goes..
hmm. maybe i should have hanged on to the fiber short. my target off 66 is almost here....
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Last edited by stryker; 09-20-2007 at 02:22 PM..
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  #850 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 02:23 PM
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"Patience is virtue" and all that, stryker.
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  #851 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 02:33 PM
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There's no use arguing how Euro will fall retired, people will only see the trend.
I'm bearish on Euro too, but still waiting for a confirmation of a turn to short. I think the best way is to let the bulls have their way for now. When everyone believes that Euro will keep going up...we know what happens

Edit : Just read that Sarkozy is talking about how the ECB should cut rates.
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  #852 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 02:52 PM
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Originally Posted by JohanS View Post
There's no use arguing how Euro will fall retired, people will only see the trend.
I'm bearish on Euro too, but still waiting for a confirmation of a turn to short. I think the best way is to let the bulls have their way for now. When everyone believes that Euro will keep going up...we know what happens

Edit : Just read that Sarkozy is talking about how the ECB should cut rates.
Well, to quote something I read this morning from another research desk:

"Yesterday we heard the view that currencies are now fairly simple: you go long those where policy mistakes haven't been made, and short the others. It's working pretty well so far. "

I somewhat doubt Sarkozy will be sitting on the ECB Governing Council anytime soon ;-)
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  #853 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 03:24 PM
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Originally Posted by David Rodriguez View Post
Well, to quote something I read this morning from another research desk:

"Yesterday we heard the view that currencies are now fairly simple: you go long those where policy mistakes haven't been made, and short the others. It's working pretty well so far. "

I somewhat doubt Sarkozy will be sitting on the ECB Governing Council anytime soon ;-)
Yeah I mean let everyone do that, keep driving the Euro up, then we will see the cracks on the economy. Of course you will need a huge stop loss if you were shorting. The best case scenario is the Euro shoots up by 0.0100 everyday, then we will see how the ECB reacts to that. In a fundamental point of view, they can afford to cut rates now if they are planning to start a war with Iran, as if the war ever starts, the US and Euro are probably forced to hike their interest rates.

I'm just like a tired bear telling the bull to go ahead and do what he wants until he gets tired.
Of course as a trader you probably want to be long in this case

On another note from a trading point of view, if most of the retail traders are long euros, obviously we'll start seeing signals to sell euros. This happens at the end of trends from an elliotician's point of view, so the more retail traders switching to long the better. Bears like me and retired should just keep quiet and let everyone else jump onto the long euro wagon because there is no arguement for selling euros. Or maybe we should join in the Euro cheering squad too, of course we can go long too for small profits

What I was trying to say if the above confused anyone is that, if there was no logical arguements on why we should sell euros, then people would buy. Retired is providing the arguement and I don't know how many people listens to him and short Euros too but let's say he did not argue about it and the same people that would have shorted Euro went long instead. We might have an SSI indicator saying 90% of retail traders going long
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  #854 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 03:32 PM
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Edit : Just read that Sarkozy is talking about how the ECB should cut rates.
“The news value of Sarkozy’s critique is zero. And it also has zero influence on the ECB.” – September 17, 2007
Axel Weber, European Central Bank Governing Council Member
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  #855 (permalink)  
Old 09-20-2007, 04:12 PM
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Retired,

Can we post links on this forum? If so, I'll post that site. If not, PM me.
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