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01-06-2009, 08:38 AM
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Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 13
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What the heck
Went long at 125.85 just above 1hr candle that touched the fib line @125.32 going to put a stop loss at that fib level!
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01-06-2009, 02:32 PM
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Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 13
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Lookin better!
Closed long for another 100+ pips, its hitting a weekly fib @126.99 showing resistance,will look for another long entry will get my 1000pips one way or another hopefully haha!!
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01-08-2009, 12:28 AM
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Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 141
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AVXFX
Hi Jeff,
Can you please get over this meaningless raap of your broker, you are simply wasting our time in this forum.
May be DailyFx administrator should block your id as you have nothing to contribute to this forum.
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01-08-2009, 06:03 AM
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Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 13
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Next stop
Eur/jpy doesnt really have anything in its way down to the 123 area a couple of fib lines in mid 123.Support level @123.98 lookin for a long again wish I played these nice down moves, 123 area should find a nice long though?
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01-10-2009, 12:05 PM
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Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 13
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GBP/USD
Pound is retraceing a almost 1400 pip December down run if it goes above pivot @ 1.5230 going long to first target @ 1.5436 below 1.5113 short to first target @ 1.5024. Still watchin Eur/Jpy lookin at more support or stallin in this drop @120.63 on its way to 61.8 fib @ 119 area eventually this should make for a sweet long.
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01-11-2009, 10:02 PM
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Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 55
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fibo calc
Dear All,
Does fibo calculation consider no. of points between high & low? Between same points (1.2330 - 1.4719 EURUSD), I get diff points for 38.2, 50 and 61.8 in H8 and D1 charts...????????
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01-12-2009, 02:56 AM
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Join Date: Jul 2008
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01-14-2009, 01:54 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 29
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usd/cad
here is a 4hr chart of usd/cad. i believe we just broke out of a triangle pattern on the daily chart. the fibonacci lines are from the weekly chart. there is also divergence with the rsi on the 1hr chart. i think since we are near resistance, even though price has broken through it that it will retrace a bit, my guess is to point B or possibly back to support on the triangle. i drew the ab=cd lines on the 4hr chart and they end up at the weekly fibonacci level. we do have some important news coming out for usd during the next 2 days. i think that will either help it break that weekly fibonacci level or bounce off of it. right now the dollar index is staying strong and oil has been dropping if not, then canadian interest rates are coming out on the 20th. on the daily chart of oil using the rsi there is divergence so i believe oil will soon be moving upward. i think the fibonacci level will hold, what does everyone else think?
moe
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01-20-2009, 02:14 PM
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Moderator
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 153
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Euro Looking to Test Key 78.6% Fib Retrace
Hi All,
Looks the Euro about to test a key fib support....if it can't hold 1.2850 then we should see a return to the multi-year lows......Happy trading!!!
Euro/Dollar – The market continues to extend declines off of 1.4720 (18Dec high) making a series of lower tops and lower lows, to just under 1.2900 thus far today. Today’s break below 1.3025 (15Jan low) confirms a fresh lower top now in place by 1.3390 (19Jan high) and opens a test of next key support by 1.2850 which represents the 78.6% fib retracement off of the major 1.2330-1.4720 move. While a full retracement back to and below 1.2330 (28Oct Trend Low) is likely, the 78.6% fib retracement is often the final level to be tested before officially calling for a 100% retracement. As such, look for the latter level to initially buoy additional setbacks with the possibility for a short-term bounce from there. We will use this bounce as an opportunity to sell for a retest of the critical trend lows. Recommendation: SELL @ 1.3100 FOR A 1.2335 OBJECTIVE, STOP @1.3410.
Quote:
Originally Posted by brad_1199
Now that the EURJPY Monthly chart has completely negated the Bullish engulfing signal left on the chart last month my bias has changed towards more downside momentum and a target below 88.87, which lines up much better with what I'm seeing in all the other YEN crosses now.. That bullish engulfing candle signal last month was a tricky one especially since it occoured at 61.8 support... In the near term I am looking for a bottom to form around current levels and one more rally back up to the 1.2500 - 1.300 range to complete wave "E" of a larger "B" wave triangle.. It looks like this is only going to be a correction and we should still be expecting new multi-year lows... Apparently the YEN is about to smoke the entire world !! I see a lot of currencies will be highly under valued in comparison to the YEN very soon... I'm glad this pair has cleared up a bit.. That Bullish Engulfing candle last month was tricky, but I'm pretty sure i know what's going on here now... Wave "E" will be confirmed underway shortly...
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01-22-2009, 05:45 PM
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Moderator
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 153
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Aussie/Kiwi Stalls by 78.6% Fib Retracement
Hi All,
Thought this could be an interesting set up into Friday.....Happy Trading!!!
The recent breakout beyond the former range highs in the 1.2200’s is finally starting to show some signs of exhaustion with the price stalling by 1.2540 on Wednesday ahead of the latest minor pullback. The failure by 1.2540 yesterday almost directly coincides with the 78.6% fib retracement off of the major 1.2970-1.0640 move at 1.2470 and the market has been unable to establish a close above the latter over the past few days. Wednesday’s negative close has been followed by some bearish price action today with the cross now ending a sequence of seven consecutive daily higher lows off of the 1.1750 lows from January 12. Daily stochastics have also topped out above 80 and have just put in a negative cross providing added confirmation for short-term reversal prospects. Look for a break back below 1.2355 (today’s low) to accelerate setbacks and open a fresh drop back towards the former resistance now turned support at 1.2220 (5Jan high). Recommendation: SELL @ 1.2350 FOR A 1.2075 OBJECTIVE, STOP @1.2510.
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01-26-2009, 09:09 PM
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Guest Moderator
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 2,438
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USDJPY Monthly Chart
Heres a look at whats going on with the monthly chart of USDJPY... Price has stalled the decline temporarily this month trying to hold onto the last long term FIB level in the 94.30 area as the crowd continues to hold short gradually pushing price lower away from the FIB level... The monthly close on Friday will most likely yield a close around current prices, then to begin February next week we'll likely see a rally up into the 91.00 - 92.00 area before a further drop... Bears look for opportunity to short in that area... Short stops can be kept above 94.62
Last edited by brad_1199; 04-09-2009 at 12:13 AM..
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01-27-2009, 11:42 AM
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Moderator
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 153
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USD/JPY 78.6% Fibo
Interesting that the pair hasnt been able to close below the 78.6% retrace off of the 87.15-94.60 move. The 78.6% fib comes in at 88.75 and I would only look to turn bearish again on a close below the latter......hope all is well with eveyone...happy trading!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by brad_1199
Heres a look at whats going on with the monthly chart of USDJPY... Price has stalled the decline temporarily this month trying to hold onto the last long term FIB level in the 94.30 area as the crowd continues to hold short gradually pushing price lower away from the FIB level... The monthly close on Friday will most likely yield a close around current prices, then to begin February next week we'll likely see a rally up into the 91.00 - 92.00 area before a further drop... Bears look for opportunity to short in that area... Short stops can be kept above 94.62
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01-28-2009, 11:02 AM
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Moderator
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 153
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Euro Swissy Trading Between 78.6% Fibs
Hi All.....Euro/Swissy looks like it be breaking out.....it stalled a while back ahead of the historic lows and this stall fell just shy of the 78.6% fib retrace of the major move....now an upside breakout projects a move back towards 1.5600 area another 78.6% fibo.....hope all is well...Happy trading!!!
The cross has finally broken above key neckline resistance at 1.5145 today to confirm an inverse head & shoulders basing pattern. The market had been building a base below the latter since December 2008 and the upside break projects a more significant move over the medium-term back towards the 1.5600 area which coincides with the 78.6% fib retracement off of the 1.5885-1.4650 move. Inability for the cross to extend setbacks after basing out by 1.4650 in mid-January also reaffirms newly adopted bullish outlook with the price stalling just ahead of the October historic lows at 1.4300. Daily studies are starting to look a little stretched so we would be more inclined to look to buy into dips. Strategy: BUY @ 1.5000 FOR A 1.5410 OBJECTIVE, STOP @1.4875.
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01-30-2009, 04:16 AM
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 635
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Joel Kruger
Hi All.....Euro/Swissy looks like it be breaking out.....it stalled a while back ahead of the historic lows and this stall fell just shy of the 78.6% fib retrace of the major move....now an upside breakout projects a move back towards 1.5600 area another 78.6% fibo.....hope all is well...Happy trading!!!
The cross has finally broken above key neckline resistance at 1.5145 today to confirm an inverse head & shoulders basing pattern. The market had been building a base below the latter since December 2008 and the upside break projects a more significant move over the medium-term back towards the 1.5600 area which coincides with the 78.6% fib retracement off of the 1.5885-1.4650 move. Inability for the cross to extend setbacks after basing out by 1.4650 in mid-January also reaffirms newly adopted bullish outlook with the price stalling just ahead of the October historic lows at 1.4300. Daily studies are starting to look a little stretched so we would be more inclined to look to buy into dips. Strategy: BUY @ 1.5000 FOR A 1.5410 OBJECTIVE, STOP @1.4875.
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Hey Joel
SO you have moved here from Thomsons Reuters!!
Anyway good luck with the NEw Job....
Ray
Last edited by WhatCount; 01-30-2009 at 06:34 AM..
Reason: spelling
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02-01-2009, 05:44 PM
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 10
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bodies or shadows
hello, quick question
when u draw fib retraction from a weekly trend.....do u put ur pivot point at the top of the candle body or the candle shadow. thanks!!!
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