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05-11-2010, 09:05 PM #17266
I took a swing short based on the 4hr chart. We failed to make a new high against a declining moving average. If price breaks and says below the 4900.. there shold be further down to come. 4780 and 4700 will be the sticky points. That is where the prior bounces were at. Clear sailing lower if those two turn to resistance rather than support.
Daily is just retracing the same bar. Shold be a day or two when we get some space between them.
Coded a new indicator to help me with my profit targets. Each line on the daily chart represents .5% profit target or position addition and Stop moves. The spacing is based on a spread sheet that i run that averages out the ATR. The votility of Cable has moved up over the last 5 days according the the last 5 numbers. | 0.0141 | | 0.0138 | | 0.0127 | | 0.0123 | | 0.0116 | Trade what you see, not what you think. Act on what is happening right now. -
05-11-2010, 09:35 PM #17267  Originally Posted by AyoBro I agree with TAfool. Stick around for a while longer John.
A-Yo Bro he only said he was taking some time off not leaving for good
Don't Chase the market let the market come to you -
05-11-2010, 09:52 PM #17268
John G. 1 and a half years
Harveyd,
I have been watching this forum for a year and a half....Harveyd, I have only seen you recently. John G., from what I understand, has been around for about 6 years or so, certainly longer than I have.......anyway, the man is not 100%, no one is in trading analysis, but a whole lot of folks benefit from what he posts. He posts to help some others out. Have you ever posted a chart? It can be time consuming to make such a post with great detail and explanation. If you don't like what you see, don't read it. I don't use Delta but I can still glean some insights from his posts.
harveyd, in my estimation you have read John G.'s attitude incorrectly. Sometimes electronic correspondence leaves a bit to be desired. Sarcasm and attitude can get read into the message when its not there.
In the past year and a half I have known John G. to be nothing less than a gentleman. Also, keep in mind, one can only covey so much in a forum, it is impossible for a man to impart years of experience and insight and observations in a forum post.
"Trade Well Not Often, Waiting is a Position" -
05-11-2010, 10:21 PM #17269
oh the musings of the fx forums....
kp - good to see you (sorry for the lack of communications of late....busy would be an understatement....)
as for cable - TL's have dictated a continued short position on my part, looking for some form of continuation coming into today/tomorrow
ideally looking for a drop below 1.47
good day all
DISCLAIMER: Trade at your own risk. -
05-11-2010, 10:27 PM #17270
kp
As I said, I posted my appreciation to John and I do also appreciate the effort required in making and posting a chart. You're right: people's different styles of arguing can get easily misconstrued online. My speciality is words and I can get perhaps too pedantic in making sure people mean what they say and are not using words carelessly.
Anyhoo, I apologise to John and hope he will continue to share his experience with others here.
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05-11-2010, 10:41 PM #17271
How about up to $1.5030 then turn down. Fits with my EUR/USD up move too. This would be a 5=1 on a C
TAfool
Charts are never wrong, but the chart reader often is. -
05-11-2010, 10:41 PM #17272  Originally Posted by CodyB he only said he was taking some time off not leaving for good
Good to see you still around Cody. Good to see you still posting.
Trade what you see, not what you think. Act on what is happening right now. -
05-12-2010, 02:34 AM #17273
GBP/USD & AUD/USD READY TO SKY DIVE
Hello Broken_ Arrow
Welcome to the forum. I concur with most of your views re the GBP/USD. Yes there will be pullbacks but I don't see significant rallies re this pair. Long term I believe 1.3500 will be challenged and taken out. However we are likely to get some up side movement when prices fall to the 1.4200 zone. A few things converge in the area of 1.4250-1.41800 on the wkly chart:
1. fib support of 1.27 converge with lower weekly channel support
2. The ABCD swing on the 4, 3 & 2hr charts is projected to complete @
1.4237 if the C" high @ 1.5053 holds. (A = 1.5523, B = 1.4707 C = 1.5053
& D = 1.4237)
3. Mthly candles closed or bounced at the 1.4200 level
I am suggesting that traders short the GBP/USD pair @ 1.5010, stop 1.5410 Trg 1 = 1.4350, T2 = 1.4247 T3 = 1.4017 T4 = 1.3870 T5 = 1.3457. The stop of 1.5410 should be used only if T3-T5 are the objectives, otherwise a stop of 1.5250 should be used for the smaller targets.
Additionally The AUD/USD is also a good Sell. Enter @ .90000 Stop .9100 T1= .8690 T2 = .8587 T3 = open
Happy and successful trading to all  Originally Posted by Broken_Arrow Dear All,
Thank you for a great forum. I happened to stumbled about only a week ago. I've got a lot of pointers from here but as usual there are differing points of views. The controntation between fundamentals and technicals has been going on for 'ages'. It's nice if we can converge both together.
I just wonder, can we expect GBDUSD to rally into an impulse towards the LONG just because Gordon Brown left office. Can we expect GBDUSD to rally to the long when EURUSD and AUDUSD appear to go further SHORT. The bilions euro package appear to temporarily put a break on EURUSD rapid decline but it did not so far show that it could reverse the EURUSD downward momentum. There was indeed some correction.
I suppose we can take a leaf from the oil bubble burst. The EURUSD may go a little further down which will then cause the stock markets in New York to fidget. There was already some hiccups last thursday. Perhaps then we will see a major swing to LONG as USD weakened overall.
I suppose this could explain why the earlier post targeting 1.35
"Thomson Reuters reporting that a US bank has just put out a note on cable targeting a move to 1.35" by JohnG
Just an opinion
Last edited by Clifton Davis; 05-12-2010 at 02:52 AM.
Reason: To Add Charts
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05-12-2010, 03:18 AM #17274
GBP would have to build a base first between 1.4718- 1.5055 before a rise to 1.53 level. Then i would expect a further and painful dip from that point. I dont think the pound would fall further below 1.447 at this this. There are plenty of rooms for big news to consolidate.
Also i would like thanks everyone for the info. No one is 100% correct, so always trade at your own risk and don't blame the others.
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05-12-2010, 03:30 AM #17275
Back
 Originally Posted by CodyB he only said he was taking some time off not leaving for good That's good news. Nothing wrong with a break away from the forums.  Originally Posted by TAfool How about up to $1.5030 then turn down. Fits with my EUR/USD up move too. This would be a 5=1 on a C
TAfool True. Looks like some new numbers need to be ran. 4867 was violated, so a series of 1-2s is possible for the impulsive count upward, risk 4788. Price is coiling in a possible wedge. I think Mary presented the pattern in it's early stages.
A-Yo Bro
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05-12-2010, 03:33 AM #17276  Originally Posted by renkoMan early ur morning^^my morning was in 10-44 and im take 100 pips 
now im stay long-its corrective wave C  RenkOOOOO
I miss your trendlines.
A-Yo Bro
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05-12-2010, 03:36 AM #17277
hi , flag bulish pattern im buy, but need wait news ;) -
05-12-2010, 03:45 AM #17278  Originally Posted by AyoBro RenkOOOOO
I miss your trendlines.
A-Yo Bro hi^^ The last was possible movements downwards the definitive? 
Uk hase new Primier minister its positive news ?
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05-12-2010, 03:58 AM #17279
I hope it will not last i am still bearish the pound because it is artificially being kept up. The new PM will not deliver on his promises the 2 parties simply have different agendas and Nick as a deputy PM will get fustrated and the LibDems will react for me this is the making of confusion having said that as my name suggest i do hope the Pound does well lol  Originally Posted by renkoMan hi^^ The last was possible movements downwards the definitive? 
Uk hase new Primier minister  its positive news ? AND ONE OTHER THING I THINK THE GBP HAS BEEN PLAYING CATCH IN TERMS OF OTHER CURRENCYS DROPPING AGAINST THE USD IT LAGS AND DROPS AGGRESSIVELY WHEN IT FEELS LEFT BEHIND LOL
Last edited by PoundGuy; 05-12-2010 at 04:01 AM.
Reason: LAST SENTENCE
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05-12-2010, 04:03 AM #17280
Wow
 Originally Posted by CodyB he only said he was taking some time off not leaving for good Cody
I missed the long trade when both Daily and Weekly PP was pointing at the support level all along. Day by day, I'm learning that PPs are almost as crucial as fibo(s), if not more.
A-Yo Bro
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