Good Morning Traders! We got past Ben Bernanke with little collateral damage and though QE was not explicitly mentioned, Ben gave many hints that the economy was meeting the Fed's checklist.
Weaker UK Retail Sales Sends GBP/USD Lower- Look for GBP/USD to retest 1.5600
Welcome back Alex! Good to have you back!
Cable Makes New 2-Week High rebounding sharply from earlier losses after weaker retail sales. US jobless claims number comes in higher than expected.
Where does GBP/USD go from here?
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DailyFX+ Speculative Sentiment Index Update for 7/19/2012
SSI Details:
EURUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at 1.17 as nearly 54% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.26 as 56% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 2.4% lower than yesterday and 16.2% weaker since last week. Short positions are 5.2% higher than yesterday and 20.4% stronger since last week. Open interest is 1.0% stronger than yesterday and 6.4% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more EURUSD losses.
GBPUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPUSD stands at -1.31 as nearly 57% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.06 as 51% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 12.1% lower than yesterday and 42.6% weaker since last week. Short positions are 8.7% higher than yesterday and 64.8% stronger since last week. Open interest is 1.4% weaker than yesterday and 4.9% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more GBPUSD gains.
GBPJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPJPY stands at 2.14 as nearly 68% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 2.77 as 74% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 4.2% lower than yesterday and 10.2% weaker since last week. Short positions are 24.4% higher than yesterday and 35.7% stronger since last week. Open interest is 3.4% stronger than yesterday and 7.5% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more GBPJPY losses.
USDJPY - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 8.46 as nearly 89% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 8.70 as 90% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 6.7% higher than yesterday and 19.8% stronger since last week. Short positions are 9.7% higher than yesterday and 10.6% stronger since last week. Open interest is 7.0% stronger than yesterday and 24.3% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDJPY losses.
USDCHF - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDCHF stands at -1.76 as nearly 64% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.94 as 66% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 0.4% higher than yesterday and 0.4% weaker since last week. Short positions are 9.0% lower than yesterday and 22.5% weaker since last week. Open interest is 5.8% weaker than yesterday and 2.5% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDCHF gains.
USDCAD - The ratio of long to short positions in the USDCAD stands at 1.67 as nearly 63% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.73 as 63% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 6.7% lower than yesterday and 27.0% stronger since last week. Short positions are 3.5% lower than yesterday and 12.9% weaker since last week. Open interest is 5.5% weaker than yesterday and 1.2% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more USDCAD losses.
AUDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the AUDUSD stands at -3.67 as nearly 79% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -2.30 as 70% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 1.6% lower than yesterday and 27.7% weaker since last week. Short positions are 57.0% higher than yesterday and 140.4% stronger since last week. Open interest is 39.2% stronger than yesterday and 50.2% above its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more AUDUSD gains.
NZDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the NZDUSD stands at -1.58 as nearly 61% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.41 as 58% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 4.5% lower than yesterday and 26.3% weaker since last week. Short positions are 7.3% higher than yesterday and 20.6% stronger since last week. Open interest is 2.4% stronger than yesterday and 3.5% below its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more NZDUSD gains.
Trader, Gregory McLeod moderates the DailyFX Forum.
If you are a new user to the DailyFX Forum, or not sure where to get started, please go to: How To use the DailyFX Forum and Introduce Yourself! Section. I’ll introduce you to the community and point you in the right direction.
Please use the “Ask the expert” section to ask me trading questions or reply to me in this thread.
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London session review and outlook July 19 - 2012
Review of markets covered in today's edition of Bulls vs. Bears: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, FTSE100, S&P500, Gold, Brent Crude and WTI.
Regards
Alejandro Zambrano
Currency Strategist | DailyFX Forum (London) azambrano@fxcm.com
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Bulls vs bears spread betting market update July 20 2012
I would be careful going long today according to this scenario as the EUR/USD is now trading under our key level - meaning that GBP/USD could trade under 1.5335
Bulls vs bears spread betting market update July 20 2012
I would be careful going long today according to this scenario as the EUR/USD is now trading under our key level - meaning that GBP/USD could trade under 1.5335
Pretty much as expected - I think traders will book profits on short positions as we reach 1.5550-1.5600. We'll get a bounce on Monday and on Tuesday we can go short. Sometimes price trades straight trough support. If you want to go short then the EUR/USD is better.
anyone trading?
Last edited by Alejandro Zambrano; 07-20-2012 at 10:32 AM.
Pretty much as expected - I think traders will book profits on short positions as we reach 1.5550-1.5600. We'll get a bounce on Monday and on Tuesday we can go short. Sometimes price trades straight trough support. If you want to go short then the EUR/USD is better.
anyone trading?
Closed several short from 1.5704 and continue short as we are trading under key level. Hope for the best.
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