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Thread: GBP and JPY Pairs H1 2013

  1. #19801
    BigWave's Avatar
    BigWave is offline Member
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    Wink demeryt

    Quote Originally Posted by demeryt View Post
    Lucky you... I dont trade that much volume If that was you, then thanks.

    cheers
    That is not luck, that is strategy and ice blod amigo!

    Cheers, have a nice trading day

    BigWave has to go now kids...

    bye bye and good luck to all

  2. #19802
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    Quote Originally Posted by melbgirl View Post
    Off topic again but perfect head and shoulders on cable hourly chart. I think it's going to break 1.6200 soon.
    Now look at gbpusd hourly, inverse head and shoulders. Ha!

    Head and shoulders pattern is only valid at the end of a trend anyway.
    Last edited by 4xis2ez; 06-26-2009 at 06:44 AM.

  3. #19803
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    I know, it's ricocheting between the range boundaries now. By the time we get used to it, the breakouts will come. Long, targeting 1.6540. It's about to form a perfect butterfly again, ready to be shorted.
    People prefer certainty over truth.
    https://twitter.com/1hourworkweek

  4. #19804
    Marc_Hav is offline Member
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    Why is everybody calling a move to 1.42 ? It just doesn't make sense to me...

  5. #19805
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    Quote Originally Posted by stanchiam View Post
    Afraid what i fear for those majority who shorted. FXCM eur ssi is -1.35, majority shorted hoping for a break of 1.388.
    Blood everywhere.
    yes this is what i think . did any one thought of 1.3740 ??? . euro never broke this level so it meant that the downside was only a correction .... the real trend is still bullish ............
    FoReX LeGeND !

  6. #19806
    Joel Kruger is offline Moderator
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    Sell Eur/Usd @1.4205 Today If Given Chance; Otherwise Sidelined

    No compelling set-ups on Friday thus far, but the market already has the feel of a strong USD down day, with currencies pushing to fresh daily highs across the board. While we still hang on to our USD bull bias, it looks as though this could really be tested today as the major trades back towards the recent range highs. The key levels to watch over the coming session come in by 1.4140 and 1.4175 with a break above to accelerate gains to 1.4200 on what is sure to be some significant stop-hunting. Nevertheless, we think any rallies above 1.4200 should be well capped and we will look to sell by the 78.6% of the 1.4340-1.3750 move which comes in just over 1.4200 if given the chance. Strategy: SELL @1.4205 FOR AN OPEN OBJECTIVE, STOP @1.4355. Recommendation to be removed if not triggered by NY close (4pm ET) on Friday.


    All my best,

    Joel

  7. #19807
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    Quote Originally Posted by demeryt View Post
    lets see...
    Just to share my personal experience
    example when eur0 fail to close below 1.388x and bounce back above 1.39, those who shorted should be careful and close their position.

    Now euro trying to close above 1.4100, same thing happening again.
    There is always some kind of rejection near round numbers in forex.
    Have to observe how it behave near such numbers.

    Anyway, if u shorted, u r joining the majority and now more call to short at 1.42, I am sure more will join if it hit that, then the fxcm SSI will become even more extreme.

    Well, go luck to you when you stand with the crowd.
    Majority of crowd is loser, only about 10% win.

    To be one of the winner, go against the crowd, have a sound strategy and u will stand out.
    Last edited by stanchiam; 06-26-2009 at 07:24 AM.

  8. #19808
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    Yep, but to make it more complicated oil is falling.
    People prefer certainty over truth.
    https://twitter.com/1hourworkweek

  9. #19809
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    Quote Originally Posted by melbgirl View Post
    I know, it's ricocheting between the range boundaries now. By the time we get used to it, the breakouts will come. Long, targeting 1.6540. It's about to form a perfect butterfly again, ready to be shorted.
    Hi melbgirl

    Can you explain the butterfly pattern to me please?

  10. #19810
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    Quote Originally Posted by melbgirl View Post
    Yep, but to make it more complicated oil is falling.
    Melbgirl, dollar is weak this morning, which will cause the oil to move up .....

  11. #19811
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    Quote Originally Posted by melbgirl View Post
    Yep, but to make it more complicated oil is falling.
    COMMODITIES: Showing a mild bid tone with oil back above $70. Gold trading above $946.

  12. #19812
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    Quote Originally Posted by oztrader View Post
    Hi melbgirl

    Can you explain the butterfly pattern to me please?
    Well, I hope this will do. Look at the charts with this in mind and try to see what happened after a butterfly was complete. Of course they have fibonacci numbers and all the world's wonders involved but I don't have the time to calculate those.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails GBP and JPY Pairs H1 2013-bearish-butterfly.jpg  

    People prefer certainty over truth.
    https://twitter.com/1hourworkweek

  13. #19813
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    Quote Originally Posted by stanchiam View Post
    Just to share my personal experience
    example when eur0 fail to close below 1.388x and bounce back above 1.39, those who shorted should be careful and close their position.

    Now euro trying to close above 1.4100, same thing happening again.
    There is always some kind of rejection near round numbers in forex.
    Have to observe how it behave near such numbers.

    Anyway, if u shorted, u r joining the majority and now more call to short at 1.42, I am sure more will join if it hit that, then the fxcm SSI will become even more extreme.

    Well, go luck to you when you stand with the crowd.
    Majority of crowd is loser, only about 10% win.

    To be one of the winner, go against the crowd, have a sound strategy and u will stand out.
    Stanchiam, SSI could stay at an extreme position for weeks on end. It in no way is a timing tool. Actually, it is practically worthless except for long term traders.

  14. #19814
    Marc_Hav is offline Member
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    Ok, that was enough rejection of the 1.41 level :-) Now let's go down to 1.30 lol

    It would also validate the butterfly pattern that MelB pointed out.

    p.s. just wishful thinking out loud lol

  15. #19815
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4xis2ez View Post
    Stanchiam, SSI could stay at an extreme position for weeks on end. It in no way is a timing tool. Actually, it is practically worthless except for long term traders.
    True, anyway here is my view on euro hourly chart

    Is this the end of the correction?
    If this is wave C and start of wave 3, then should be interesting.
    Above 1.4140 the count will be invalid and call for strong upmove,
    which will make following short on 1.42 dangerous.


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