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Thread: Strong Vs Weak Analysis

  1. #1
    Dennis S's Avatar
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    Strong Vs Weak Analysis

    Hi All,

    I have come up with a way to do a strong/weak analysis that I feel is an improvement over the way Richard Krivo teaches, and you do not even have to look at a chart. First I only look at the 7 major yen pairs, by using the JPY as my common denominator, I can determine where all 28 major pairs will rank. On an excel spreadsheet in column A I list the seven Yen pairs, in column B the beginning price from last month, in column C today's current price. In column D I enter a formula to calculate the percentage change between columns B and C. The pair with the largest % gain is my strongest Currency and the pair with the largest % loss is the weakest, If all the pairs have a % loss then I know the Yen is the strongest, if all the pairs have a gain then the Yen would be the weakest, If two have gains and 5 have losses then the yen would rank 3rd. I take this info and rank the currencies 1 through 8. To take into account a shorter term change in strength I do the same process by using the beginning price of the current month, everything else is done the same way. With these rankings I do not even need to look at a chart to know which of the 28 pairs is going to have the strongest trend. Once everything is setup on the Excel sheet you just need to update the current price and you will immediately know what currencies are strong or weak. Entering the current prices only takes a minute and I will update this several times a day. Please let my know what you think of this process and I would welcome feedback on how to improve it.

  2. #2
    Julius at FXCM's Avatar
    Julius at FXCM is online now DailyFX Administrator
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    Hello Dennis S, and thank you for your post!


    I appreciate you taking the time to share a little bit about your strategy with us Dennis S!

    How has your system been helping with your trading? Have you been seeing positive results? I would love to hear all about it.


    Thank you again for your post Dennis S! Please feel free to post with additional questions or contact me directly at julius@fxcm.com

    Quote Originally Posted by Dennis S View Post
    Hi All,

    I have come up with a way to do a strong/weak analysis that I feel is an improvement over the way Richard Krivo teaches, and you do not even have to look at a chart. First I only look at the 7 major yen pairs, by using the JPY as my common denominator, I can determine where all 28 major pairs will rank. On an excel spreadsheet in column A I list the seven Yen pairs, in column B the beginning price from last month, in column C today's current price. In column D I enter a formula to calculate the percentage change between columns B and C. The pair with the largest % gain is my strongest Currency and the pair with the largest % loss is the weakest, If all the pairs have a % loss then I know the Yen is the strongest, if all the pairs have a gain then the Yen would be the weakest, If two have gains and 5 have losses then the yen would rank 3rd. I take this info and rank the currencies 1 through 8. To take into account a shorter term change in strength I do the same process by using the beginning price of the current month, everything else is done the same way. With these rankings I do not even need to look at a chart to know which of the 28 pairs is going to have the strongest trend. Once everything is setup on the Excel sheet you just need to update the current price and you will immediately know what currencies are strong or weak. Entering the current prices only takes a minute and I will update this several times a day. Please let my know what you think of this process and I would welcome feedback on how to improve it.
    Last edited by Julius at FXCM; 06-20-2012 at 07:56 PM.
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  3. #3
    Dennis S's Avatar
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    Strong/Weak Rank Order

    Hi Everyone, here is my strong week rank order as of July 13th at 1 PM est.
    4 Hour Chart, listed strongest to weakest
    AUD-NZD-CAD-JPY-GBP-USD-CHF-EUR

    1 Hour Chart, Listed strongest to weakest
    JPY-CAD-GBP-AUD-USD-NZD-CHF-EUR

    I use the one hour to spot pull backs and possible trend changes, as we might be seeing in the Yen. The Yen was the weakest currency in June and so far in July it has been the strongest

    Good Trading

  4. #4
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    Strong/Weak Rank Order

    Off of 4 Hr chart
    AUD-NZD-CAD-GBP-JPY-USD-EUR-CHF

    Off the 1 Hr Chart
    GBP-AUD-JPY-CAD-NZD-EUR-CHF-USD

    I do not see the GBP holding that #1 rank on the one hour chart, nor do I see USD staying in 8th place for long, with that said take a look at GBP/USD could be giving us a good low risk entry on a short back to the bottom of this channel



  5. #5
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    S/W rank order

    Strong Weak rank order as of 7/18/2012 6am est

    4Hr chart
    AUD-CAD-NZD-JPY-GBP-USD-EUR-CHF

    1Hr Chart
    AUD- GBP-CAD-JPY-USD-NZD-EUR-CHF

    Since yesterday, GBP a little weaker and USD a little stronger, this holds good for my short GBP/USD trade,

  6. #6
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    S/W rank order

    As off 4 pm today

    Rank order off the 4 hour chart
    AUD-NZD-CAD-JPY-GBP-USD-CHF-EUR

    Rank order off the 1 hour chart
    AUD-GBP-NZD-CAD-JPY-CHF-EUR-USD

    The pound continues to show short term strength, this invalidates my short GBP/USD trade

  7. #7
    Alejandro Zambrano's Avatar
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    Hello Dennis,


    I hope you are well. I think may people find your information useful. How about moving your thread to My Trading Journal ??

    You will get more people reading and interacting with you as the exposure in the micro account section is very low.

  8. #8
    Dennis S's Avatar
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    Thanks, I will give it a try. I am still learning my way around the Forum, I some times have trouble finding my own thread
    Alejandro Zambrano likes this.

  9. #9
    Julius at FXCM's Avatar
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    Hello again Dennis S, and thank you for your post!


    How can I move a thread to another section of the forum?

    I couldn't agree with Alejandro Zambrano more! I enjoy reading your analysis and I'm sure that others do too. If you would like to move your thread to the My Trading Journal section of the forum just let me know and I would be more than happy to do that for you. Please click here for more information about how you can effectively utilize this forum.


    I'm having trouble finding the information I'm looking for on the forum. Any suggestions?

    I would suggest using a search engine and enter the following before searching what you are interested in:


    site:forexforums.dailyfx.com



    So for example if I wanted to find something about trailing stops on the forum, I would visit the page of my favorite search engine and enter the following in the search field:


    site:forexforums.dailyfx.com trailing stops



    The following is a list of a few popular search engines that are utilized by our clients:









    I hope that information helps!


    Thank you again for your post Dennis S! Please feel free to post with additional questions or send me an email directly at julius@fxcm.com

    Quote Originally Posted by Dennis S View Post
    Thanks, I will give it a try. I am still learning my way around the Forum, I some times have trouble finding my own thread
    Last edited by Julius at FXCM; 07-20-2012 at 03:55 PM.
    Alejandro Zambrano likes this.
    Thank you for being a part of our trading community!

    Want to discuss how our resources can help you reach your trading goals? Add your post to join the conversation or feel free to contact us directly at help@fxcm.com!

    We look forward to hearing from you!

    FXCM Online Support

  10. #10
    Dennis S's Avatar
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    Hi Julius

    I have started a thread under my trading journal, titled My Strong Vs Weak Analyses

    Thanks
    Julius at FXCM likes this.

  11. #11
    ag20g10 is offline Registered User
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    Hey, why has this thread not been updated for over a month, I feel the strong weak analyses taught by Mr Krivo is very useful, Made a good couple of pips buying into a pullback of the EURAUD a couple of hours ago.

  12. #12
    Dennis S's Avatar
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    Moved

    Hi ag20g10
    I moved my strong weak analyses to My Trading Journal, link below should get you there

    http://forexforums.dailyfx.com/my-tr...ml#post1307168 (My Strong Vs. Weak Analyses)

  13. #13
    Dennis S's Avatar
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    This Thread has been moved

    Please click on link below for my Strong Weak Analyses

    http://forexforums.dailyfx.com/my-tr...ml#post1307168 (My Strong Vs. Weak Analyses)

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