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  #3751 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 10:26 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sean Hyman View Post
anyways, glad to have you posting here with us. Welcome!

Ultimately, you'll have to see what you think is best with your money.

With that said...it appears that the USD/CAD downtrend has been broken. If so, in the coming weeks to months...the USD would gain in value vs. the CAD. If that's the case, then you'd want to delay your conversion since the dollars are strengthening and buying you more CAD as the exchange rate goes up before you make the switch.
thanks mate , sometimes i just wish the CAD will come back as it always was against the USD, around the 1.50 mark, but that seems sooo far from now.
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  #3752 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 10:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sean Hyman View Post
anyways, glad to have you posting here with us. Welcome!

Ultimately, you'll have to see what you think is best with your money.

With that said...it appears that the USD/CAD downtrend has been broken. If so, in the coming weeks to months...the USD would gain in value vs. the CAD. If that's the case, then you'd want to delay your conversion since the dollars are strengthening and buying you more CAD as the exchange rate goes up before you make the switch.
Hi Sean.
When you draw that arrow, does it mean you see the CAD weakening to 115 or just higher?
Thank you.
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  #3753 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 10:52 AM
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Smile just a little comment

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Originally Posted by anyways View Post
hey, ive been going through the forum for the last month, never posted...
Im not really a trader but I have a big load of USD... like in the low 6 figures and I might need the CAD as soon as Q1 2010... What would you guys do at my place? Wait or trade? My main objective was to trade everything at 2008 high of 1.30, but it doesn't seem were gonna be near this anytime soon.
Hi,
As you wrote "I might need the CAD", I'm not sure if you're in a situation to speculate.If you know the amount you'll need and you are thight, you may need to consider convert it at some different time (not just one time). You won't have the best rate, but an average rate. It depend if you'd like to take some risk and/or have the money you "need".
Have a nice day!
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  #3754 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 10:59 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Claude17 View Post
Hi Sean.
When you draw that arrow, does it mean you see the CAD weakening to 115 or just higher?
Thank you.
Claude, the arrow was just for directional purposes. I think it may go up...but how far..we'll just have to see how it progresses along the way.

My initial reaction would be to think that it would go back to some formidable resistance around 1.16-1.17 area at least. But we'll see.
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  #3755 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 11:00 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sylvanio View Post
Hi,
As you wrote "I might need the CAD", I'm not sure if you're in a situation to speculate.If you know the amount you'll need and you are thight, you may need to consider convert it at some different time (not just one time). You won't have the best rate, but an average rate. It depend if you'd like to take some risk and/or have the money you "need".
Have a nice day!
sylvanio, good to have you posting with us.
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  #3756 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 11:09 AM
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USD/CAD Daily

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Originally Posted by straty01 View Post
What an odd forum this one is. Is there anybody out there besides me who trades the CAD, a noticeable lack of interest here.
You're joking ... Right?
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  #3757 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 12:55 PM
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What straty doesn't realize is that there are a lot of serious USD/CAD traders in here.

He'll learn.
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  #3758 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 04:30 PM
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Wink

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sylvanio, good to have you posting with us.
Thank you and good vacation to you!
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  #3759 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2009, 04:53 PM
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Going to West Palm Beach...then on to Los Cabos, Mexico.
Hi Sean,
Have a good vacation and thanks for all your help.
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  #3760 (permalink)  
Old 11-01-2009, 06:59 PM
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USD/CAD Daily

Until this USD/CAD Pair posts an Outside 4H Bar to the downside with W%R confirming ... it will continue to seek the Next highest Price for the 1st Week of November ... as Prices remain above the Weekly Pivot of 1.0731. With Running Volume beginning to favor the Bulls ... there is little resistance to contain any coming advance thereafter (should sideways to Lower Action first play out) if the Bears decide to dump their Shorts en masse. The August 17th High of 1.1127 will be the Price to measure current strength or weakness from after the High posted this Tuesday Nov 3rd.

Last edited by leithtec; 11-01-2009 at 07:13 PM..
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  #3761 (permalink)  
Old 11-02-2009, 05:40 AM
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Originally Posted by leithtec View Post
Until this USD/CAD Pair posts an Outside 4H Bar to the downside with W%R confirming ... it will continue to seek the Next highest Price for the 1st Week of November ... as Prices remain above the Weekly Pivot of 1.0731. With Running Volume beginning to favor the Bulls ... there is little resistance to contain any coming advance thereafter (should sideways to Lower Action first play out) if the Bears decide to dump their Shorts en masse. The August 17th High of 1.1127 will be the Price to measure current strength or weakness from after the High posted this Tuesday Nov 3rd.
I shorted because stochastics/rsi on daily are becoming extreme and also I think the first trend line is coming in at around 1.08 which should provide some bearish bias at least in the short term. But I think I'm taking chances because cit bankruptcy may throw the market off quite a bit today. It's ok though, this isn't my first questionable gamble
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  #3762 (permalink)  
Old 11-02-2009, 09:33 AM
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USD/CAD Daily

Quote:
Originally Posted by andruha View Post
I shorted because stochastics/rsi on daily are becoming extreme and also I think the first trend line is coming in at around 1.08 which should provide some bearish bias at least in the short term. But I think I'm taking chances because cit bankruptcy may throw the market off quite a bit today. It's ok though, this isn't my first questionable gamble
Looking at the Hourly ... It's looking like You've made the right move ... maybe a little early ... maybe not ... Let's see what tomorrow's High comes in at relative to this Week's Pivot of 1.0731.

Last edited by leithtec; 11-02-2009 at 09:36 AM..
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  #3763 (permalink)  
Old 11-02-2009, 12:10 PM
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[quote=leithtec;373439]Looking at the Hourly ... It's looking like You've made the right move ... maybe a little early ... maybe not ... Let's see what tomorrow's High comes in at relative to this Week's Pivot of 1.0731.[/QUOTE

Im also short at 1.08293
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  #3764 (permalink)  
Old 11-02-2009, 11:05 PM
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trades in CAD

(4 hour chart below) watch out for breakout about this trendline to the upside, but before it takes place, it looks like were getting bearish divergence in the MACD and ROC, which indictes a very short term top. I would look for a sell to 1.062 area & 1.058 area (use trailing stop at first level to get any profit below these levels, 1.045-1.40 is about as low as your going to get), then wait for another bullish divergence in MACD & ROC for the next leg up to break the upper trendline.
Attached Thumbnails
usd-cad-usdcad-11-1-09.jpg  


Last edited by bmwguy586; 11-02-2009 at 11:15 PM..
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  #3765 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2009, 02:49 AM
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USD/CAD Daily

I'm waiting to see what this USD/CAD pair will do once it gets up to the 1.0848 Price area into today (Tues Nov 3rd) if it does prior to the US Open ... as this Price area (above or below) is now the Tell.
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